Cumberland County, North Carolina
Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — shifted 3.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 39.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 12.7% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 37.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6) | 1.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 37.8% | 61.2% |
| Black Protestant | 7.5% | 12.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.7% | 10.8% |
| Catholic | 6.4% | 10.3% |
| Other | 3.2% | 5.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 2.6% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 38.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+13.4 |
| 2020 | Biden+16.6 |
| 2016 | Clinton+15.9 |
| 2012 | Obama+19.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+17.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+3.5 |
| 2000 | Gore+0.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+4.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+4.9 |
Cumberland, North Carolina is a county that has a population of 338,545. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+13.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56.0% | 42.6% | D+13.4 | R+3.2 |
| 2020 | 57.4% | 40.8% | D+16.6 | D+0.7 |
| 2016 | 56.2% | 40.2% | D+15.9 | R+3.7 |
| 2012 | 59.4% | 39.7% | D+19.7 | D+2.0 |
| 2008 | 58.5% | 40.9% | D+17.7 | D+21.2 |
| 2004 | 48.1% | 51.6% | R+3.5 | R+4.2 |
| 2000 | 50.1% | 49.4% | D+0.6 | R+3.8 |
| 1996 | 49.2% | 44.8% | D+4.4 | R+0.5 |
| 1992 | 47.0% | 42.1% | D+4.9 | D+11.3 |
| 1988 | 46.7% | 53.1% | R+6.4 | D+10.1 |
| 1984 | 41.6% | 58.2% | R+16.6 | R+17.7 |
| 1980 | 48.8% | 47.6% | D+1.2 | R+24.9 |
| 1976 | 62.8% | 36.8% | D+26.0 | D+68.0 |
| 1972 | 28.5% | 70.5% | R+42.0 | R+44.8 |
| 1968 | 34.7% | 31.9% | D+2.8 | R+18.0 |
| 1964 | 60.4% | 39.6% | D+20.8 | D+2.8 |
| 1960 | 59.0% | 41.0% | D+17.9 | D+4.0 |
| 1956 | 57.0% | 43.0% | D+13.9 | D+5.5 |
| 1952 | 54.2% | 45.8% | D+8.4 | R+27.6 |
| 1948 | 55.1% | 19.2% | D+35.9 | — |
What defines Cumberland?
Cumberland has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
County in State Context
Current North Carolina Polling
Contextual statewide polling for North Carolina. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 North Carolina Senate General Election
Roy Cooper leads at 48.8%
4 pollsLow
Field Preview
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2004
- Turnout of 59.4% in 2024 ranked 98 of 100 in the state — bottom quartile
Located In
Cumberland sits inside these higher-level geographies.