
Safe Republican — 39 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
38K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+18.7
TURNOUT
81.5%
#3 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$89K
COLLEGE+
43%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 85% non-Hispanic white (+28pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: President ran 35.4pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Evangelical edge: 10pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Contextual statewide polling for North Carolina. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Roy Cooper leads at 49.0%