Safe Republican — shifted 5.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 30 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
2K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+62.2
TURNOUT
75.5%
#11 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$63K
COLLEGE+
24%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 87% non-Hispanic white (+29pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 80.6pp ahead of Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Evangelical edge: 15pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.