
Leans Democratic — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 62.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 4.8% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 24.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 29.1% | 45.2% |
| Catholic | 20.8% | 32.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.0% | 7.8% |
| Other | 4.6% | 7.1% |
| Black Protestant | 4.2% | 6.6% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.6% | 0.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 35.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+14.9 |
| 2020 | Biden+15.9 |
| 2016 | Clinton+10.1 |
| 2012 | Obama+6.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+7.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+5.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+11.3 |
| 1996 | Dole+7.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+10.9 |
Hamilton, Ohio is a county that has a population of 830,774. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+14.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56.9% | 42.0% | D+14.9 | R+1.0 |
| 2020 | 57.1% | 41.3% | D+15.9 | D+5.8 |
| 2016 | 51.7% | 41.6% | D+10.1 | D+3.7 |
| 2012 | 52.5% | 46.2% | D+6.3 | R+0.6 |
| 2008 | 53.0% | 46.0% | D+7.0 | D+12.4 |
| 2004 | 47.1% | 52.5% | R+5.4 | D+5.9 |
| 2000 | 42.8% | 54.0% | R+11.3 | R+4.3 |
| 1996 | 43.1% | 50.1% | R+7.0 | D+3.9 |
| 1992 | 36.8% | 47.7% | R+10.9 | D+12.5 |
| 1988 | 37.9% | 61.3% | R+23.4 | D+3.9 |
| 1984 | 36.1% | 63.3% | R+27.3 | R+5.5 |
| 1980 | 36.0% | 57.7% | R+21.7 | R+0.3 |
| 1976 | 38.4% | 59.8% | R+21.4 | D+11.5 |
| 1972 | 32.7% | 65.6% | R+33.0 | R+19.7 |
| 1968 | 37.0% | 50.2% | R+13.3 | R+23.8 |
| 1964 | 55.3% | 44.7% | D+10.5 | D+19.5 |
| 1960 | 45.5% | 54.5% | R+9.0 | D+23.2 |
| 1956 | 33.9% | 66.1% | R+32.2 | R+13.0 |
| 1952 | 40.4% | 59.6% | R+19.2 | R+13.7 |
| 1948 | 46.9% | 52.4% | R+5.5 | — |
Hamilton has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the urban swing demographic that decides close elections.
Contextual statewide polling for Ohio. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Sherrod Brown leads at 47.3%
Amy Acton leads at 49.5%