Adair County, Oklahoma
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 30 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 39.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 7.2% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 0.8% |
▶Asian(3) | 1.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6) | 39.7% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 12.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 53.8% | 93.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.3% | 4.0% |
| Other | 0.7% | 1.2% |
| Catholic | 0.5% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 42.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+63.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+59.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+52.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+34.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+38.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+32.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+19.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+2.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+5.3 |
Adair, Oklahoma is a county that has a population of 19,575. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+63.0. Akashic Edge tracks 30 presidential elections here, dating back to 1908.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17.8% | 80.8% | R+63.0 | R+3.9 |
| 2020 | 19.5% | 78.6% | R+59.1 | R+6.8 |
| 2016 | 21.2% | 73.5% | R+52.3 | R+17.6 |
| 2012 | 32.7% | 67.3% | R+34.6 | D+4.0 |
| 2008 | 30.7% | 69.3% | R+38.6 | R+6.7 |
| 2004 | 34.0% | 66.0% | R+32.0 | R+12.9 |
| 2000 | 39.5% | 58.6% | R+19.1 | R+16.6 |
| 1996 | 42.8% | 45.3% | R+2.5 | D+2.8 |
| 1992 | 40.2% | 45.5% | R+5.3 | D+9.7 |
| 1988 | 42.1% | 57.0% | R+15.0 | D+17.0 |
| 1984 | 33.6% | 65.6% | R+32.0 | R+21.5 |
| 1980 | 43.5% | 54.1% | R+10.5 | R+13.3 |
| 1976 | 50.9% | 48.1% | D+2.7 | D+51.0 |
| 1972 | 24.8% | 73.1% | R+48.3 | R+23.9 |
| 1968 | 28.5% | 53.0% | R+24.5 | R+26.9 |
| 1964 | 51.2% | 48.8% | D+2.5 | D+34.0 |
| 1960 | 34.2% | 65.8% | R+31.5 | R+18.3 |
| 1956 | 43.4% | 56.6% | R+13.2 | R+7.8 |
| 1952 | 47.3% | 52.7% | R+5.4 | R+17.5 |
| 1948 | 56.0% | 44.0% | D+12.1 | — |
What defines Adair?
Adair has been trending Republican — 28pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 63.0% margin
- Shifted 28.4 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Adair sits inside these higher-level geographies.