Tulsa
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 1.5M residents — 22 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 60.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 10.6% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 6.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(10) | 10.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 9.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 40.2% | 70.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.7% | 13.5% |
| Catholic | 4.9% | 8.5% |
| Other | 2.7% | 4.8% |
| Black Protestant | 1.6% | 2.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 1.9% |
| Non-religious | 42.8% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+35.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+34.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+36.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+32.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+29.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+26.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+17.2 |
| 1996 | Dole+5.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+7.4 |
Tulsa is a media market that has a population of 1,459,191. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+35.6. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31.2% | 66.8% | R+35.6 | R+1.2 |
| 2020 | 31.7% | 66.0% | R+34.3 | D+2.2 |
| 2016 | 29.0% | 65.6% | R+36.5 | R+4.1 |
| 2012 | 33.7% | 66.2% | R+32.5 | R+3.4 |
| 2008 | 35.4% | 64.5% | R+29.1 | R+2.9 |
| 2004 | 36.9% | 63.1% | R+26.3 | R+9.1 |
| 2000 | 40.6% | 57.8% | R+17.2 | R+11.3 |
| 1996 | 41.5% | 47.3% | R+5.9 | D+1.5 |
| 1992 | 35.3% | 42.7% | R+7.4 | D+8.1 |
| 1988 | 41.9% | 57.4% | R+15.5 | D+20.8 |
| 1984 | 31.6% | 67.8% | R+36.2 | R+11.9 |
| 1980 | 35.7% | 60.0% | R+24.4 | R+18.0 |
| 1976 | 46.2% | 52.6% | R+6.4 | D+44.1 |
| 1972 | 23.6% | 74.1% | R+50.5 | R+29.4 |
| 1968 | 29.0% | 50.1% | R+21.0 | R+26.8 |
| 1964 | 52.8% | 47.1% | D+5.7 | D+25.8 |
| 1960 | 39.9% | 60.0% | R+20.1 | R+2.0 |
| 1956 | 41.0% | 59.0% | R+18.1 | R+6.8 |
| 1952 | 44.3% | 55.6% | R+11.3 | R+24.2 |
| 1948 | 56.4% | 43.5% | D+12.9 | — |
What defines Tulsa?
Tulsa voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Sherman-Ada
Small-town rural republican
Great Falls
Small-town rural republican
Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston)
Small-town rural republican
Oklahoma City
Rural Republican 2
Sioux Falls(Mitchell)
Small-town rural republican 3
Billings
Small-town rural republican
Casper-Riverton
Small-town rural republican
Wichita Falls & Lawton
Rural Republican 2
Counties in Tulsa
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa | 681K | R+15.2 | 106,105 | 145,241 | 256,939 | 43.8% |
| Rogers | 99K | R+55.0 | 10,146 | 35,942 | 46,902 | 8.0% |
| Wagoner | 87K | R+49.8 | 9,330 | 28,487 | 38,501 | 6.6% |
| Creek | 73K | R+55.8 | 6,643 | 24,098 | 31,312 | 5.3% |
| Muskogee | 66K | R+37.6 | 7,400 | 16,550 | 24,357 | 4.1% |
| Washington | 53K | R+47.6 | 5,793 | 16,836 | 23,174 | 3.9% |
| Cherokee | 48K | R+32.6 | 5,826 | 11,637 | 17,823 | 3.0% |
| Osage | 46K | R+41.4 | 5,867 | 14,404 | 20,628 | 3.5% |
| Pittsburg | 44K | R+59.0 | 3,473 | 13,841 | 17,572 | 3.0% |
| Delaware | 41K | R+60.4 | 3,475 | 14,407 | 18,108 | 3.1% |
| Mayes | 40K | R+57.5 | 3,529 | 13,514 | 17,374 | 3.0% |
| Okmulgee | 37K | R+42.7 | 3,979 | 10,100 | 14,349 | 2.4% |
| Montgomery | 31K | R+51.1 | 2,934 | 9,287 | 12,441 | 2.1% |
| Adair | 20K | R+63.0 | 1,289 | 5,860 | 7,256 | 1.2% |
| Mcintosh | 19K | R+52.7 | 1,937 | 6,387 | 8,439 | 1.4% |
| Pawnee | 16K | R+58.9 | 1,355 | 5,405 | 6,880 | 1.2% |
| Craig | 14K | R+58.3 | 1,212 | 4,740 | 6,056 | 1.0% |
| Haskell | 12K | R+69.7 | 718 | 4,156 | 4,936 | 0.8% |
| Okfuskee | 11K | R+55.8 | 854 | 3,080 | 3,988 | 0.7% |
| Latimer | 10K | R+65.6 | 681 | 3,356 | 4,079 | 0.7% |
| Nowata | 9K | R+67.0 | 720 | 3,774 | 4,561 | 0.8% |
| Chautauqua | 3K | R+71.2 | 211 | 1,299 | 1,528 | 0.3% |
22 countiesTotal votes: 587,203
Ask the Historian
Explore Tulsa's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 35.6% margin
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Tulsa | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 60.9% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 10.6% | 19.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(10) | 10.1% | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 9.7% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 6.2% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.4% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
57.2%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -66.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.2% | 70.3% | — | — | |
| 7.7% | 13.5% | — | — | |
| 4.9% | 8.5% | — | — | |
| 2.7% | 4.8% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 2.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 1.9% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 42.8% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Tulsa media market? 1,459,191 residents across 22 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
28% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 5pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
1.5M
Share of U.S. population
0.44%
Voting-age population
73.9%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$65,192
Poverty rate
15.1%
College degree
27.8%
Homeownership
67.2%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
38.3 yrs
Age 18–29
15.2%
Age 65+
17.3%
Foreign born
6.0%
Non-English at home
10.5%
English only
89.5%
Turnout in Tulsa
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
54.4%
-0.4pp
1,078,744
1988–2024
How competitive is Tulsa?
Safe RAvg margin: R+35.5 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+29.1
2012
R+32.5
2016
R+36.5
2020
R+34.3
2024
R+35.6
7.4pp
0
R+33.6
Do voters in Tulsa split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (21/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+28.3 | R+16.1 | 12.1pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 14.2pp
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