Barnwell County, South Carolina
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 8.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 50.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 2.9% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 42.8% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 45.0% | 75.0% |
| Black Protestant | 7.3% | 12.3% |
| Other | 3.1% | 5.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.8% | 4.7% |
| Catholic | 1.7% | 2.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 2.1% |
| Non-religious | 40.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+15.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+7.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+5.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+5.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+1.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+7.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+10.4 |
| 1996 | Dole+2.4 |
| 1992 | Bush+8.3 |
Barnwell, South Carolina is a county that has a population of 20,521. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+15.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41.6% | 57.2% | R+15.5 | R+8.1 |
| 2020 | 45.7% | 53.2% | R+7.5 | R+2.3 |
| 2016 | 46.4% | 51.5% | R+5.2 | R+10.5 |
| 2012 | 52.3% | 47.0% | D+5.3 | D+3.7 |
| 2008 | 50.3% | 48.7% | D+1.6 | D+8.8 |
| 2004 | 45.8% | 53.0% | R+7.2 | D+3.2 |
| 2000 | 44.2% | 54.6% | R+10.4 | R+8.0 |
| 1996 | 46.6% | 49.0% | R+2.4 | D+5.9 |
| 1992 | 40.9% | 49.2% | R+8.3 | D+18.6 |
| 1988 | 36.2% | 63.1% | R+26.9 | R+5.5 |
| 1984 | 39.1% | 60.5% | R+21.4 | R+23.9 |
| 1980 | 50.7% | 48.1% | D+2.5 | R+20.2 |
| 1976 | 61.4% | 38.6% | D+22.8 | D+66.2 |
| 1972 | 28.3% | 71.7% | R+43.4 | R+41.2 |
| 1968 | 29.0% | 31.3% | R+2.3 | D+43.0 |
| 1964 | 27.4% | 72.6% | R+45.3 | R+29.2 |
| 1960 | 41.9% | 58.1% | R+16.1 | R+62.4 |
| 1956 | 63.6% | 17.3% | D+46.3 | R+21.9 |
| 1952 | 70.9% | 2.7% | D+68.2 | D+64.0 |
| 1948 | 5.6% | 1.4% | D+4.2 | — |
What defines Barnwell?
Barnwell has been trending Republican — 21pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (49% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2008 election was decided by just 1.6 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 20.9 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Barnwell sits inside these higher-level geographies.