Hardin County, Tennessee
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 90.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 2.5% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 3.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 46.7% | 78.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.9% | 13.3% |
| Catholic | 3.7% | 6.2% |
| Black Protestant | 0.9% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 40.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+71.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+67.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+64.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+51.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+42.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+22.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+13.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+5.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+0.6 |
Hardin, Tennessee is a county that has a population of 27,249. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+71.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14.1% | 85.1% | R+71.0 | R+3.6 |
| 2020 | 15.4% | 82.8% | R+67.5 | R+3.2 |
| 2016 | 16.3% | 80.5% | R+64.2 | R+12.6 |
| 2012 | 23.5% | 75.1% | R+51.6 | R+9.0 |
| 2008 | 27.8% | 70.5% | R+42.7 | R+20.1 |
| 2004 | 38.5% | 61.2% | R+22.6 | R+8.8 |
| 2000 | 42.5% | 56.4% | R+13.8 | R+8.0 |
| 1996 | 43.2% | 49.0% | R+5.8 | R+6.4 |
| 1992 | 45.6% | 45.1% | D+0.6 | D+20.9 |
| 1988 | 39.6% | 60.0% | R+20.4 | 0.0 |
| 1984 | 39.3% | 59.6% | R+20.3 | R+7.1 |
| 1980 | 42.6% | 55.8% | R+13.3 | R+14.4 |
| 1976 | 50.2% | 49.1% | D+1.1 | D+56.6 |
| 1972 | 20.8% | 76.3% | R+55.5 | R+28.0 |
| 1968 | 18.0% | 45.6% | R+27.5 | R+20.3 |
| 1964 | 46.4% | 53.6% | R+7.2 | D+24.9 |
| 1960 | 33.2% | 65.2% | R+32.0 | R+7.2 |
| 1956 | 37.1% | 61.9% | R+24.9 | R+6.0 |
| 1952 | 40.4% | 59.3% | R+18.9 | R+3.3 |
| 1948 | 38.8% | 54.3% | R+15.5 | — |
What defines Hardin?
Hardin has been trending Republican — 19pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 71.0% margin
- Shifted 19.4 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Hardin sits inside these higher-level geographies.