Henderson County, Tennessee
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 85.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 3.0% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 7.9% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 43.6% | 88.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.3% | 8.6% |
| Other | 1.0% | 2.0% |
| Black Protestant | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| Catholic | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 50.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+67.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+64.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+62.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+48.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+42.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+31.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+23.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+15.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+13.5 |
Henderson, Tennessee is a county that has a population of 27,980. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+67.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15.8% | 83.7% | R+67.9 | R+3.8 |
| 2020 | 17.4% | 81.5% | R+64.1 | R+2.1 |
| 2016 | 17.6% | 79.7% | R+62.0 | R+13.3 |
| 2012 | 25.0% | 73.8% | R+48.8 | R+5.9 |
| 2008 | 27.9% | 70.8% | R+42.9 | R+11.8 |
| 2004 | 34.2% | 65.2% | R+31.1 | R+7.4 |
| 2000 | 37.7% | 61.4% | R+23.7 | R+7.7 |
| 1996 | 39.0% | 55.0% | R+15.9 | R+2.4 |
| 1992 | 38.8% | 52.3% | R+13.5 | D+26.4 |
| 1988 | 29.4% | 69.3% | R+39.9 | R+2.4 |
| 1984 | 31.0% | 68.6% | R+37.5 | R+7.2 |
| 1980 | 34.1% | 64.4% | R+30.4 | R+20.0 |
| 1976 | 44.4% | 54.7% | R+10.4 | D+47.4 |
| 1972 | 19.9% | 77.6% | R+57.7 | R+23.6 |
| 1968 | 17.8% | 52.0% | R+34.2 | R+11.0 |
| 1964 | 38.4% | 61.6% | R+23.1 | D+17.9 |
| 1960 | 29.1% | 70.1% | R+41.1 | R+6.9 |
| 1956 | 32.8% | 66.9% | R+34.1 | D+0.7 |
| 1952 | 32.6% | 67.4% | R+34.9 | R+4.1 |
| 1948 | 31.7% | 62.5% | R+30.8 | — |
What defines Henderson?
Henderson has been trending Republican — 19pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 67.9% margin
- Shifted 19.1 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Henderson sits inside these higher-level geographies.