Safe Democratic — shifted 9.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 26.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 41.3% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 22.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 7.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 21.9% | 37.2% |
| Catholic | 16.5% | 28.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.2% | 13.9% |
| Other | 5.8% | 9.9% |
| Black Protestant | 5.8% | 9.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.2% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.6% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 41.0% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+22.2 |
| 2020 | Biden+31.6 |
| 2016 | Clinton+25.9 |
| 2012 | Obama+15.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+15.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+1.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+7.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+0.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+3.7 |
Dallas, Texas is a county that has a population of 2,621,179. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+22.2. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 60.1% | 38.0% | D+22.2 | R+9.4 |
| 2020 | 64.9% | 33.3% | D+31.6 | D+5.8 |
| 2016 | 60.2% | 34.3% | D+25.9 | D+10.5 |
| 2012 | 57.0% | 41.6% | D+15.4 | D+0.2 |
| 2008 | 57.2% | 41.9% | D+15.3 | D+16.7 |
| 2004 | 49.0% | 50.3% | R+1.4 | D+6.3 |
| 2000 | 44.9% | 52.6% | R+7.7 | R+6.9 |
| 1996 | 46.0% | 46.8% | R+0.8 | D+3.0 |
| 1992 | 35.0% | 38.7% | R+3.7 | D+13.8 |
| 1988 | 40.9% | 58.4% | R+17.5 | D+15.6 |
| 1984 | 33.3% | 66.4% | R+33.1 | R+10.6 |
| 1980 | 36.8% | 59.2% | R+22.4 | R+8.0 |
| 1976 | 42.3% | 56.7% | R+14.4 | D+25.6 |
| 1972 | 29.5% | 69.5% | R+40.0 | R+23.4 |
| 1968 | 34.1% | 50.7% | R+16.6 | R+26.3 |
| 1964 | 54.7% | 45.1% | D+9.7 | D+34.8 |
| 1960 | 37.0% | 62.2% | R+25.2 | D+5.9 |
| 1956 | 34.0% | 65.1% | R+31.1 | R+5.2 |
| 1952 | 36.8% | 62.7% | R+25.9 | R+38.4 |
| 1948 | 50.3% | 37.8% | D+12.5 | — |
Dallas has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%