Denton County, Texas
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — shifted 5.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 52.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 20.5% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 11.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 11.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.7% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 23.1% | 56.9% |
| Catholic | 10.3% | 25.2% |
| Other | 4.1% | 10.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.8% | 6.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.2% | 5.5% |
| Black Protestant | 0.4% | 1.0% |
| Non-religious | 59.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+13.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+8.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+20.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+31.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+24.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+40.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+42.3 |
| 1996 | Dole+26.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+17.7 |
Denton, Texas is a county that has a population of 979,561. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+13.1. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42.6% | 55.8% | R+13.1 | R+5.1 |
| 2020 | 45.1% | 53.2% | R+8.1 | D+11.9 |
| 2016 | 37.1% | 57.1% | R+20.0 | D+11.6 |
| 2012 | 33.4% | 64.9% | R+31.6 | R+7.4 |
| 2008 | 37.5% | 61.6% | R+24.2 | D+16.3 |
| 2004 | 29.5% | 70.0% | R+40.5 | D+1.8 |
| 2000 | 27.3% | 69.6% | R+42.3 | R+16.1 |
| 1996 | 32.4% | 58.5% | R+26.1 | R+8.5 |
| 1992 | 23.9% | 41.6% | R+17.7 | D+19.4 |
| 1988 | 31.1% | 68.2% | R+37.1 | D+14.6 |
| 1984 | 24.0% | 75.7% | R+51.7 | R+26.6 |
| 1980 | 34.8% | 59.9% | R+25.1 | R+21.2 |
| 1976 | 47.6% | 51.5% | R+3.9 | D+28.7 |
| 1972 | 33.6% | 66.2% | R+32.6 | R+28.6 |
| 1968 | 39.6% | 43.6% | R+4.0 | R+39.6 |
| 1964 | 67.7% | 32.1% | D+35.6 | D+38.8 |
| 1960 | 48.3% | 51.5% | R+3.2 | D+0.4 |
| 1956 | 48.1% | 51.7% | R+3.6 | D+1.3 |
| 1952 | 47.5% | 52.4% | R+5.0 | R+48.4 |
| 1948 | 65.4% | 22.0% | D+43.4 | — |
What defines Denton?
It has a diverse, highly educated electorate — the core of the modern Democratic coalition.
County in State Context
Current Texas Polling
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%
8 pollsStale
Field Preview
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 23.5 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
- College attainment is 49% — 16pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
Located In
Denton sits inside these higher-level geographies.