Fort Bend County, Texas
Latest: 2024
Competitive — shifted 9.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 28.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 24.7% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 20.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 22.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 1.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 16.7% | 39.1% |
| Catholic | 15.8% | 37.1% |
| Other | 5.5% | 12.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.8% | 8.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.4% | 3.4% |
| Black Protestant | 0.6% | 1.3% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.3% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 57.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+1.6 |
| 2020 | Biden+10.6 |
| 2016 | Clinton+6.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+6.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+2.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+15.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+21.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+12.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+12.6 |
Fort Bend, Texas is a county that has a population of 893,767. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+1.6. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49.5% | 47.9% | D+1.6 | R+9.0 |
| 2020 | 54.7% | 44.1% | D+10.6 | D+3.9 |
| 2016 | 51.4% | 44.8% | D+6.6 | D+13.5 |
| 2012 | 46.1% | 52.9% | R+6.8 | R+4.4 |
| 2008 | 48.5% | 50.9% | R+2.4 | D+12.9 |
| 2004 | 42.1% | 57.4% | R+15.3 | D+5.8 |
| 2000 | 38.5% | 59.6% | R+21.1 | R+8.4 |
| 1996 | 41.1% | 53.8% | R+12.7 | R+0.1 |
| 1992 | 34.1% | 46.6% | R+12.6 | D+13.3 |
| 1988 | 36.6% | 62.4% | R+25.8 | D+11.8 |
| 1984 | 31.1% | 68.7% | R+37.6 | R+1.6 |
| 1980 | 30.3% | 66.3% | R+36.0 | R+14.8 |
| 1976 | 39.1% | 60.3% | R+21.2 | D+18.2 |
| 1972 | 30.1% | 69.4% | R+39.3 | R+38.6 |
| 1968 | 39.0% | 39.7% | R+0.7 | R+28.5 |
| 1964 | 63.8% | 36.0% | D+27.8 | D+14.3 |
| 1960 | 56.3% | 42.8% | D+13.5 | D+34.3 |
| 1956 | 39.0% | 59.8% | R+20.8 | R+10.7 |
| 1952 | 44.9% | 55.0% | R+10.1 | R+39.0 |
| 1948 | 57.0% | 28.1% | D+28.8 | — |
What defines Fort Bend?
Fort Bend has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (3D, 3R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a diverse, highly educated electorate — the core of the modern Democratic coalition.
County in State Context
Current Texas Polling
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%
8 pollsStale
Field Preview
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2024 election was decided by just 1.6 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2012
- College attainment is 50% — 17pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
Located In
Fort Bend sits inside these higher-level geographies.