Safe Republican — shifted 4.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 36 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
32K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+62.8
TURNOUT
44.2%
#232 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$70K
COLLEGE+
16%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 48% Hispanic (+28pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 27.2pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Evangelical edge: 29pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%