Safe Republican — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 47.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 42.3% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 2.3% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.7% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 27.5% | 47.1% |
| Catholic | 26.1% | 44.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.0% | 6.9% |
| Other | 0.8% | 1.4% |
| Non-religious | 41.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+69.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+66.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+63.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+54.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+49.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+50.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+42.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+15.4 |
| 1992 | Bush+11.6 |
Live Oak, Texas is a county that has a population of 11,620. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+69.6. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14.9% | 84.6% | R+69.6 | R+2.7 |
| 2020 | 16.2% | 83.1% | R+66.9 | R+3.6 |
| 2016 | 17.2% | 80.5% | R+63.3 | R+8.9 |
| 2012 | 22.3% | 76.7% | R+54.3 | R+5.3 |
| 2008 | 25.1% | 74.1% | R+49.0 | D+1.2 |
| 2004 | 24.7% | 74.9% | R+50.3 | R+7.4 |
| 2000 | 27.8% | 70.6% | R+42.8 | R+27.4 |
| 1996 | 38.0% | 53.4% | R+15.4 | R+3.8 |
| 1992 | 33.9% | 45.5% | R+11.6 | D+6.5 |
| 1988 | 40.5% | 58.7% | R+18.1 | D+14.3 |
| 1984 | 33.5% | 66.0% | R+32.5 | R+10.0 |
| 1980 | 38.1% | 60.6% | R+22.5 | R+34.9 |
| 1976 | 55.9% | 43.5% | D+12.5 | D+60.6 |
| 1972 | 25.9% | 74.0% | R+48.1 | R+47.4 |
| 1968 | 39.3% | 40.0% | R+0.7 | R+28.9 |
| 1964 | 63.9% | 35.7% | D+28.2 | D+43.5 |
| 1960 | 42.3% | 57.5% | R+15.3 | D+18.7 |
| 1956 | 31.8% | 65.7% | R+33.9 | D+9.0 |
| 1952 | 28.3% | 71.2% | R+42.9 | R+72.7 |
| 1948 | 60.3% | 30.6% | D+29.7 | — |
Live Oak has been trending Republican — 15pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (53% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%