Nolan County, Texas
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 36 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 53.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 37.4% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 2.7% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 1.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 27.2% | 46.8% |
| Catholic | 15.9% | 27.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 9.1% | 15.6% |
| Other | 3.9% | 6.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.2% | 3.8% |
| Black Protestant | 2.1% | 3.7% |
| Non-religious | 41.8% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+59.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+55.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+52.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+45.2 |
| 2008 | McCain+38.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+41.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+27.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+7.7 |
| 1992 | Clinton+8.3 |
Nolan, Texas is a county that has a population of 14,454. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+59.2. Akashic Edge tracks 36 presidential elections here, dating back to 1884.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19.9% | 79.1% | R+59.2 | R+3.8 |
| 2020 | 21.7% | 77.1% | R+55.4 | R+3.5 |
| 2016 | 21.2% | 73.1% | R+52.0 | R+6.8 |
| 2012 | 26.6% | 71.7% | R+45.2 | R+6.4 |
| 2008 | 30.0% | 68.8% | R+38.8 | D+2.5 |
| 2004 | 29.1% | 70.4% | R+41.2 | R+13.7 |
| 2000 | 35.3% | 62.8% | R+27.5 | R+35.3 |
| 1996 | 47.9% | 40.2% | D+7.7 | R+0.6 |
| 1992 | 41.8% | 33.5% | D+8.3 | D+6.2 |
| 1988 | 50.9% | 48.7% | D+2.1 | D+19.8 |
| 1984 | 41.1% | 58.8% | R+17.7 | R+17.9 |
| 1980 | 49.1% | 48.8% | D+0.3 | R+11.7 |
| 1976 | 55.8% | 43.8% | D+12.0 | D+58.1 |
| 1972 | 26.9% | 73.0% | R+46.1 | R+59.9 |
| 1968 | 46.9% | 33.2% | D+13.7 | R+23.7 |
| 1964 | 68.6% | 31.2% | D+37.4 | D+22.8 |
| 1960 | 57.2% | 42.7% | D+14.6 | D+8.2 |
| 1956 | 53.0% | 46.7% | D+6.3 | D+2.8 |
| 1952 | 51.7% | 48.1% | D+3.6 | R+66.6 |
| 1948 | 83.8% | 13.6% | D+70.2 | — |
What defines Nolan?
Nolan has been trending Republican — 14pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (46% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.
County in State Context
Current Texas Polling
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%
8 pollsStale
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Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 59.2% margin
- Shifted 14.0 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Nolan sits inside these higher-level geographies.