Safe Republican — shifted 3.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 68.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 19.2% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 8.8% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 16.0% | 75.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.0% | 9.6% |
| Black Protestant | 2.0% | 9.2% |
| Catholic | 0.9% | 4.1% |
| Other | 0.4% | 1.8% |
| Non-religious | 78.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+65.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+61.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+58.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+48.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+38.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+33.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+21.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+1.6 |
| 1992 | Clinton+5.0 |
San Jacinto, Texas is a county that has a population of 28,441. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+65.3. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17.0% | 82.3% | R+65.3 | R+3.4 |
| 2020 | 18.5% | 80.4% | R+61.9 | R+3.7 |
| 2016 | 19.7% | 77.9% | R+58.2 | R+9.4 |
| 2012 | 25.1% | 73.9% | R+48.9 | R+10.6 |
| 2008 | 30.4% | 68.7% | R+38.3 | R+5.0 |
| 2004 | 33.1% | 66.4% | R+33.3 | R+11.6 |
| 2000 | 38.2% | 59.9% | R+21.7 | R+20.1 |
| 1996 | 42.7% | 44.4% | R+1.6 | R+6.7 |
| 1992 | 40.6% | 35.6% | D+5.0 | D+0.1 |
| 1988 | 52.3% | 47.3% | D+4.9 | D+17.4 |
| 1984 | 43.6% | 56.1% | R+12.5 | R+28.0 |
| 1980 | 56.7% | 41.2% | D+15.5 | R+21.7 |
| 1976 | 68.2% | 31.0% | D+37.2 | D+49.1 |
| 1972 | 43.9% | 55.8% | R+11.9 | R+48.9 |
| 1968 | 53.5% | 16.5% | D+37.0 | R+29.0 |
| 1964 | 82.9% | 16.9% | D+66.0 | D+23.5 |
| 1960 | 71.0% | 28.5% | D+42.5 | D+28.2 |
| 1956 | 56.8% | 42.5% | D+14.3 | R+21.3 |
| 1952 | 67.7% | 32.1% | D+35.6 | R+16.4 |
| 1948 | 65.8% | 13.7% | D+52.1 | — |
San Jacinto has been trending Republican — 16pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (16% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%