Tom Green County, Texas
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 37 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 51.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 40.6% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 3.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 33.7% | 56.0% |
| Catholic | 18.5% | 30.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.5% | 7.5% |
| Other | 2.5% | 4.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.5% | 2.5% |
| Black Protestant | 1.0% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 39.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+48.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+44.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+47.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+47.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+41.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+51.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+44.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+19.3 |
| 1992 | Bush+9.7 |
Tom Green, Texas is a county that has a population of 119,577. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+48.0. Akashic Edge tracks 37 presidential elections here, dating back to 1880.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25.5% | 73.5% | R+48.0 | R+3.6 |
| 2020 | 27.1% | 71.5% | R+44.4 | D+3.2 |
| 2016 | 23.8% | 71.5% | R+47.6 | D+0.3 |
| 2012 | 25.3% | 73.2% | R+47.9 | R+6.2 |
| 2008 | 28.7% | 70.4% | R+41.7 | D+9.5 |
| 2004 | 24.1% | 75.3% | R+51.3 | R+6.6 |
| 2000 | 26.8% | 71.4% | R+44.6 | R+25.3 |
| 1996 | 35.9% | 55.2% | R+19.3 | R+9.6 |
| 1992 | 31.1% | 40.8% | R+9.7 | D+17.3 |
| 1988 | 36.1% | 63.1% | R+27.0 | D+18.2 |
| 1984 | 27.3% | 72.5% | R+45.2 | R+20.7 |
| 1980 | 36.3% | 60.7% | R+24.4 | R+19.1 |
| 1976 | 47.0% | 52.3% | R+5.3 | D+38.9 |
| 1972 | 27.7% | 71.9% | R+44.2 | R+29.3 |
| 1968 | 34.7% | 49.6% | R+14.9 | R+33.8 |
| 1964 | 59.4% | 40.5% | D+18.9 | D+26.4 |
| 1960 | 46.1% | 53.6% | R+7.5 | D+22.0 |
| 1956 | 35.1% | 64.6% | R+29.6 | R+4.4 |
| 1952 | 37.4% | 62.5% | R+25.1 | R+79.5 |
| 1948 | 74.3% | 20.0% | D+54.4 | — |
What defines Tom Green?
It has a plurality-minority electorate (49% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.
County in State Context
Current Texas Polling
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%
8 pollsStale
Field Preview
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 48.0% margin
- Religious adherence of 60.1% ranks 763rd of 3143 counties — top quartile nationally
Located In
Tom Green sits inside these higher-level geographies.