Safe Republican — shifted 3.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 76.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 8.4% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 10.7% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.0% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 42.3% | 80.3% |
| Other | 3.9% | 7.4% |
| Catholic | 3.4% | 6.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.9% | 5.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.6% | 5.0% |
| Black Protestant | 0.5% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 47.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+73.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+70.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+67.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+55.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+44.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+30.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+20.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+7.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+15.1 |
Tyler, Texas is a county that has a population of 20,238. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+73.5. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13.0% | 86.5% | R+73.5 | R+3.2 |
| 2020 | 14.5% | 84.8% | R+70.3 | R+3.2 |
| 2016 | 15.6% | 82.6% | R+67.1 | R+11.6 |
| 2012 | 21.8% | 77.2% | R+55.4 | R+11.5 |
| 2008 | 27.4% | 71.4% | R+44.0 | R+13.2 |
| 2004 | 34.3% | 65.1% | R+30.8 | R+10.3 |
| 2000 | 39.0% | 59.5% | R+20.5 | R+28.4 |
| 1996 | 49.0% | 41.1% | D+7.9 | R+7.2 |
| 1992 | 47.1% | 32.0% | D+15.1 | R+0.4 |
| 1988 | 57.6% | 42.1% | D+15.5 | D+23.1 |
| 1984 | 46.0% | 53.6% | R+7.7 | R+23.7 |
| 1980 | 57.1% | 41.1% | D+16.1 | R+9.5 |
| 1976 | 62.5% | 36.9% | D+25.5 | D+63.6 |
| 1972 | 30.8% | 68.9% | R+38.1 | R+40.3 |
| 1968 | 31.8% | 29.6% | D+2.2 | R+17.6 |
| 1964 | 59.9% | 40.0% | D+19.8 | D+25.8 |
| 1960 | 46.8% | 52.7% | R+6.0 | D+30.9 |
| 1956 | 31.4% | 68.2% | R+36.9 | R+31.0 |
| 1952 | 47.1% | 52.9% | R+5.8 | R+52.1 |
| 1948 | 57.7% | 11.4% | D+46.3 | — |
Tyler has been trending Republican — 18pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%