Safe Republican — shifted 5.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 34 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 36.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(3) | 56.2% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 6.6% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.8% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 38.0% | 56.4% |
| Catholic | 23.7% | 35.2% |
| Other | 4.6% | 6.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.8% | 2.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.0% | 1.5% |
| Non-religious | 32.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+66.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+61.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+51.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+47.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+49.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+51.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+33.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+0.6 |
| 1992 | Bush+1.7 |
Ward, Texas is a county that has a population of 11,144. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+66.1. Akashic Edge tracks 34 presidential elections here, dating back to 1892.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16.7% | 82.7% | R+66.1 | R+5.1 |
| 2020 | 18.8% | 79.8% | R+61.0 | R+9.8 |
| 2016 | 22.7% | 73.9% | R+51.2 | R+4.2 |
| 2012 | 25.9% | 72.9% | R+47.0 | D+2.1 |
| 2008 | 25.0% | 74.0% | R+49.1 | D+2.8 |
| 2004 | 23.9% | 75.8% | R+51.9 | R+18.9 |
| 2000 | 32.4% | 65.4% | R+33.0 | R+33.6 |
| 1996 | 44.1% | 43.4% | D+0.6 | D+2.3 |
| 1992 | 38.3% | 40.0% | R+1.7 | D+16.9 |
| 1988 | 40.5% | 59.0% | R+18.5 | D+30.2 |
| 1984 | 25.3% | 74.0% | R+48.7 | R+14.4 |
| 1980 | 32.0% | 66.2% | R+34.3 | R+32.5 |
| 1976 | 48.5% | 50.3% | R+1.8 | D+41.4 |
| 1972 | 27.7% | 70.9% | R+43.2 | R+38.0 |
| 1968 | 31.2% | 36.4% | R+5.2 | R+17.6 |
| 1964 | 56.2% | 43.8% | D+12.4 | D+5.8 |
| 1960 | 52.4% | 45.8% | D+6.6 | D+10.5 |
| 1956 | 47.7% | 51.6% | R+3.9 | D+0.1 |
| 1952 | 48.0% | 52.0% | R+4.0 | R+68.2 |
| 1948 | 79.7% | 15.6% | D+64.2 | — |
Ward has been trending Republican — 19pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%