Safe Republican — 33 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
13K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+75.0
TURNOUT
80.0%
#4 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$102K
COLLEGE+
20%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 91% non-Hispanic white (+33pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: President ran 42.2pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Atypical: young but Republican-leaning (median age 31, R+67.0 avg)
Hypothesis — investigate economic or cultural drivers.