How did Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+39.6. Kamala D Harris received 85,671 votes and Donald Trump received 209,147 out of 311,849 total votes cast, a 2.2-point shift toward Democrats from 2020.

What is Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT's political history?

Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT has 33 presidential elections on record, spanning 1896 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 58.5 points in 1900.

What are the demographics of Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT?

Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT has a population of 717,986 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 77.8% non-Hispanic white, 14.4% Hispanic. About 44% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $100,692.

Which places are most similar to Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT are Ogden, UT, Logan, UT-ID, Idaho Falls, ID. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT

Latest: 2024↑ D+2.2 vs 2020

Safe Republican — 718K residents — 2 counties

Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

POPULATION
718K
COUNTIES
2
PRES MARGIN
R+39.6
2024
TURNOUT
65.7%
MEDIAN INCOME
$101K

Place Story

What defines Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT

Methodology

Reliably Republican since 1968
- Safe R
- 15 straight R wins
Mobilization target, not persuasion target.
Biggest swing: R+58.5 in 1900
- 1896 → 1900
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 33.0pp ahead of Senate
- Divergence 33.0pp in 2016
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 78% non-Hispanic white (+20pp vs national)
- 78% non-Hispanic white (+20pp vs national)
Atypical: young but Republican-leaning (median age 26, R+51.0 avg)
- Median age 26
- R+51.0 avg
Hypothesis — investigate economic or cultural drivers.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Ogden, UT

Small-town rural republican 2

R+24.6

Similarity score92%

Logan, UT-ID

Educated rural competitive

R+38.4

Similarity score90%

Idaho Falls, ID

Small-town rural republican 3

R+52.1

Similarity score89%

Cedar City, UT

Small-town rural republican 3

R+56.4

Similarity score88%

Rexburg, ID

Educated rural competitive

R+66.0

Similarity score85%

Warrensburg, MO

Educated rural competitive

R+39.6

Similarity score85%

Jacksonville, NC

Educated rural competitive

R+35.8

Similarity score85%

Kearney, NE

Small-town rural republican 3

R+46.7

Similarity score83%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Utah	705K	R+38.8	84,937	203,476	305,271	97.9%
Juab	13K	R+75.0	734	5,671	6,578	2.1%

2 countiesTotal votes: 311,849

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Provo-Orem-Lehi, UTCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 77.8%Hispanic 14.4%Multiracial 4.2%Asian 1.5%Black 0.8%Native Hawaiian 0.7%Native American 0.6%

Group	Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	77.8%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	14.4%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	4.2%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	1.5%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(12)	0.8%	12.2%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5)	0.7%	0.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.6%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

82.9%(595.4K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Other	77.9%	94.0%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	77.2%	93.2%	—	—
Catholic	4.6%	5.5%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	0.4%	0.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	17.1%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Other adherence nationally

Who lives in the Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT metro area? 717,986 residents across 2 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT vs National718K residents

44% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

718K

local

718KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.21%

local

0.21%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

66.1%

local

66.1%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$100,692

local

$100,692National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.7%

local

8.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

44.0%

local

44.0%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

68.6%

local

68.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

25.9 yrs

local

25.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

25.2%

local

25.2%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.0%

local

8.0%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.1%

local

8.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

15.9%

local

15.9%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

84.1%

local

84.1%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

65.7%

vs Previous

+4.6pp

Voting-Age Pop

474,947

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT?

Safe RAvg margin: R+39.3 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+58.8

2012

R+78.5

2016

R+36.6

2020

R+41.8

2024

R+39.6

Elasticity

41.9pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+51.0

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (7/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+52.0	R+39.2	12.8pp
President vs Senate	R+39.6	R+52.0	12.4pp
President vs Governor	R+39.6	R+39.2	0.4pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 16.1pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Utah(State)

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