Safe Republican — shifted 10.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 60.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 2.6% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 30.6% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 11.9% | 56.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.1% | 24.4% |
| Other | 3.1% | 14.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 5.8% |
| Black Protestant | 0.9% | 4.3% |
| Non-religious | 79.0% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+23.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+13.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+11.3 |
| 2012 | Obama+2.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+0.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+6.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+3.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+8.3 |
| 1992 | Bush+3.4 |
Buckingham, Virginia is a county that has a population of 16,976. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+23.5. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37.8% | 61.2% | R+23.5 | R+10.3 |
| 2020 | 42.7% | 55.9% | R+13.2 | R+1.9 |
| 2016 | 42.9% | 54.2% | R+11.3 | R+13.7 |
| 2012 | 50.3% | 47.9% | D+2.4 | D+1.6 |
| 2008 | 49.9% | 49.0% | D+0.9 | D+7.4 |
| 2004 | 46.3% | 52.8% | R+6.6 | R+3.3 |
| 2000 | 47.0% | 50.2% | R+3.3 | R+11.5 |
| 1996 | 48.9% | 40.7% | D+8.3 | D+11.7 |
| 1992 | 43.0% | 46.4% | R+3.4 | D+8.7 |
| 1988 | 43.4% | 55.5% | R+12.1 | D+4.2 |
| 1984 | 41.0% | 57.4% | R+16.3 | R+18.1 |
| 1980 | 49.3% | 47.5% | D+1.8 | R+16.6 |
| 1976 | 58.0% | 39.6% | D+18.4 | D+45.9 |
| 1972 | 35.4% | 62.9% | R+27.5 | R+26.1 |
| 1968 | 30.7% | 32.1% | R+1.3 | D+12.0 |
| 1964 | 43.2% | 56.6% | R+13.4 | R+23.9 |
| 1960 | 54.9% | 44.4% | D+10.6 | D+16.5 |
| 1956 | 37.7% | 43.6% | R+6.0 | R+12.2 |
| 1952 | 52.8% | 46.6% | D+6.2 | R+23.3 |
| 1948 | 57.5% | 27.9% | D+29.5 | — |
Buckingham has been trending Republican — 26pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (15% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.