Carroll County, Virginia
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 93.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 4.1% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 0.2% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 26.2% | 64.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.7% | 26.4% |
| Black Protestant | 1.6% | 4.0% |
| Other | 1.4% | 3.5% |
| Catholic | 0.6% | 1.5% |
| Non-religious | 59.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+63.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+62.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+59.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+39.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+32.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+35.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+31.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+14.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+17.2 |
Carroll, Virginia is a county that has a population of 29,157. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+63.3. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18.1% | 81.4% | R+63.3 | R+0.6 |
| 2020 | 18.2% | 80.9% | R+62.7 | R+3.4 |
| 2016 | 18.7% | 78.1% | R+59.4 | R+20.3 |
| 2012 | 28.5% | 67.6% | R+39.1 | R+6.7 |
| 2008 | 32.7% | 65.1% | R+32.4 | D+2.9 |
| 2004 | 32.1% | 67.4% | R+35.3 | R+3.5 |
| 2000 | 33.1% | 64.9% | R+31.9 | R+17.0 |
| 1996 | 36.2% | 51.0% | R+14.8 | D+2.4 |
| 1992 | 34.7% | 51.9% | R+17.2 | D+15.9 |
| 1988 | 33.1% | 66.2% | R+33.1 | D+8.2 |
| 1984 | 29.0% | 70.3% | R+41.3 | R+15.6 |
| 1980 | 35.7% | 61.3% | R+25.6 | R+16.6 |
| 1976 | 44.7% | 53.7% | R+9.0 | D+43.4 |
| 1972 | 22.6% | 75.1% | R+52.4 | R+11.4 |
| 1968 | 23.2% | 64.2% | R+41.0 | R+23.1 |
| 1964 | 41.0% | 58.9% | R+17.9 | D+14.9 |
| 1960 | 33.5% | 66.3% | R+32.8 | D+7.0 |
| 1956 | 29.8% | 69.7% | R+39.8 | R+2.3 |
| 1952 | 31.1% | 68.7% | R+37.5 | R+3.8 |
| 1948 | 32.0% | 65.7% | R+33.7 | — |
What defines Carroll?
Carroll has been trending Republican — 24pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 63.3% margin
- Shifted 24.2 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Carroll sits inside these higher-level geographies.