Essex County, Virginia
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — shifted 7.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 53.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 4.6% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 37.1% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.4% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 26.1% | 55.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 9.9% | 21.1% |
| Catholic | 6.0% | 12.9% |
| Other | 4.6% | 9.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.9% | 4.1% |
| Black Protestant | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 53.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+7.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+0.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+2.1 |
| 2012 | Obama+7.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+10.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+6.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+6.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+1.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+8.0 |
Essex, Virginia is a county that has a population of 10,623. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+7.8. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45.8% | 53.5% | R+7.8 | R+7.2 |
| 2020 | 49.2% | 49.8% | R+0.6 | D+1.5 |
| 2016 | 47.3% | 49.5% | R+2.1 | R+9.4 |
| 2012 | 53.1% | 45.9% | D+7.3 | R+3.0 |
| 2008 | 54.7% | 44.4% | D+10.3 | D+17.2 |
| 2004 | 46.2% | 53.0% | R+6.8 | R+0.4 |
| 2000 | 45.7% | 52.1% | R+6.4 | R+7.6 |
| 1996 | 47.2% | 46.1% | D+1.2 | D+9.2 |
| 1992 | 40.5% | 48.6% | R+8.0 | D+14.1 |
| 1988 | 38.5% | 60.6% | R+22.1 | D+1.7 |
| 1984 | 37.8% | 61.6% | R+23.8 | R+13.8 |
| 1980 | 42.9% | 52.9% | R+10.1 | R+7.4 |
| 1976 | 47.8% | 50.5% | R+2.7 | D+25.8 |
| 1972 | 34.1% | 62.6% | R+28.5 | R+33.4 |
| 1968 | 41.5% | 36.6% | D+4.9 | D+6.8 |
| 1964 | 49.0% | 50.9% | R+1.9 | D+6.8 |
| 1960 | 45.6% | 54.3% | R+8.7 | D+16.3 |
| 1956 | 30.5% | 55.5% | R+25.0 | R+19.4 |
| 1952 | 46.9% | 52.5% | R+5.6 | R+22.2 |
| 1948 | 50.5% | 33.9% | D+16.6 | — |
What defines Essex?
Essex has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (2D, 4R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a plurality-minority electorate (47% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2020 election was decided by just 0.6 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- College attainment is 17% — 16pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Located In
Essex sits inside these higher-level geographies.