Greensville County, Virginia
Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — shifted 6.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 35.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 2.9% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 56.3% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 16.1% | 74.4% |
| Black Protestant | 3.1% | 14.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.4% | 11.2% |
| Non-religious | 78.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+9.3 |
| 2020 | Biden+15.6 |
| 2016 | Clinton+18.8 |
| 2012 | Obama+27.8 |
| 2008 | Obama+28.5 |
| 2004 | Kerry+18.4 |
| 2000 | Gore+19.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+31.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+22.6 |
Greensville, Virginia is a county that has a population of 11,275. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+9.3. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54.3% | 45.1% | D+9.3 | R+6.3 |
| 2020 | 57.4% | 41.8% | D+15.6 | R+3.2 |
| 2016 | 58.6% | 39.8% | D+18.8 | R+9.0 |
| 2012 | 63.6% | 35.9% | D+27.8 | R+0.7 |
| 2008 | 63.9% | 35.4% | D+28.5 | D+10.1 |
| 2004 | 59.0% | 40.7% | D+18.4 | R+0.8 |
| 2000 | 59.2% | 40.1% | D+19.2 | R+12.2 |
| 1996 | 62.0% | 30.6% | D+31.4 | D+8.7 |
| 1992 | 56.1% | 33.5% | D+22.6 | D+10.0 |
| 1988 | 55.8% | 43.1% | D+12.7 | D+11.7 |
| 1984 | 49.3% | 48.3% | D+1.0 | R+13.7 |
| 1980 | 56.4% | 41.7% | D+14.7 | R+20.3 |
| 1976 | 66.2% | 31.2% | D+35.0 | D+49.3 |
| 1972 | 41.7% | 56.0% | R+14.3 | R+40.8 |
| 1968 | 43.2% | 16.7% | D+26.5 | D+26.1 |
| 1964 | 50.1% | 49.7% | D+0.4 | R+22.0 |
| 1960 | 60.6% | 38.2% | D+22.4 | D+11.5 |
| 1956 | 39.9% | 29.1% | D+10.8 | R+1.1 |
| 1952 | 55.4% | 43.5% | D+11.9 | R+16.7 |
| 1948 | 49.8% | 21.1% | D+28.7 | — |
What defines Greensville?
Greensville has been trending Republican — 19pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Shifted 18.5 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
- Margins have been narrowing — from 18.8pp to 9.3pp over the last 3 presidential elections
Located In
Greensville sits inside these higher-level geographies.