James City County, Virginia
Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 71.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 7.2% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 12.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 20.2% | 45.9% |
| Catholic | 13.2% | 29.9% |
| Other | 5.4% | 12.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.0% | 11.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.5% | 3.3% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 56.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+6.2 |
| 2020 | Biden+4.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+5.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+12.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+9.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+22.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+22.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+15.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+12.3 |
James City, Virginia is a county that has a population of 81,013. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+6.2. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52.5% | 46.3% | D+6.2 | D+1.4 |
| 2020 | 51.5% | 46.7% | D+4.8 | D+9.9 |
| 2016 | 44.3% | 49.4% | R+5.1 | D+6.9 |
| 2012 | 43.4% | 55.4% | R+12.0 | R+2.8 |
| 2008 | 44.9% | 54.2% | R+9.2 | D+13.3 |
| 2004 | 38.4% | 60.9% | R+22.6 | D+0.1 |
| 2000 | 37.1% | 59.7% | R+22.6 | R+7.1 |
| 1996 | 39.0% | 54.4% | R+15.5 | R+3.1 |
| 1992 | 35.9% | 48.2% | R+12.3 | D+18.9 |
| 1988 | 33.7% | 64.9% | R+31.2 | D+2.7 |
| 1984 | 32.6% | 66.5% | R+33.9 | R+18.7 |
| 1980 | 38.1% | 53.3% | R+15.2 | R+12.3 |
| 1976 | 46.5% | 49.4% | R+2.9 | D+22.5 |
| 1972 | 36.6% | 62.0% | R+25.4 | R+27.3 |
| 1968 | 37.4% | 35.5% | D+1.9 | R+21.0 |
| 1964 | 61.4% | 38.5% | D+23.0 | D+24.6 |
| 1960 | 48.9% | 50.5% | R+1.6 | D+34.1 |
| 1956 | 26.8% | 62.5% | R+35.7 | R+15.1 |
| 1952 | 39.5% | 60.2% | R+20.7 | R+25.4 |
| 1948 | 44.5% | 39.8% | D+4.7 | — |
What defines James City?
James City has been drifting steadily toward Democrats — 18pp bluer over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era. Voter turnout stands out nationally — in the top 15% of peers in 2024.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2016
- Shifted 18.3 points toward Democrats over the last 4 elections
- Turnout of 79.6% in 2024 ranked 17 of 133 in the state — top quartile
Located In
James City sits inside these higher-level geographies.