Lunenburg County, Virginia
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 6.1% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 32.5% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.8% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 16.8% | 50.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 11.1% | 33.2% |
| Black Protestant | 5.4% | 16.2% |
| Non-religious | 66.7% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+22.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+18.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+17.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+5.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+3.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+9.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+10.5 |
| 1996 | Dole+1.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+3.0 |
Lunenburg, Virginia is a county that has a population of 12,016. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+22.8. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.3% | 61.1% | R+22.8 | R+4.2 |
| 2020 | 40.3% | 59.0% | R+18.6 | R+1.2 |
| 2016 | 39.9% | 57.4% | R+17.5 | R+12.5 |
| 2012 | 46.8% | 51.8% | R+5.0 | R+1.5 |
| 2008 | 47.8% | 51.3% | R+3.5 | D+6.0 |
| 2004 | 45.0% | 54.5% | R+9.5 | D+1.1 |
| 2000 | 44.1% | 54.7% | R+10.5 | R+9.0 |
| 1996 | 44.7% | 46.3% | R+1.5 | D+1.4 |
| 1992 | 42.4% | 45.3% | R+3.0 | D+11.7 |
| 1988 | 41.6% | 56.3% | R+14.7 | D+6.5 |
| 1984 | 38.8% | 59.9% | R+21.2 | R+19.1 |
| 1980 | 47.3% | 49.4% | R+2.1 | 0.0 |
| 1976 | 47.6% | 49.7% | R+2.1 | D+37.7 |
| 1972 | 29.3% | 69.1% | R+39.8 | R+39.8 |
| 1968 | 29.4% | 29.4% | Even | D+24.1 |
| 1964 | 37.9% | 62.0% | R+24.1 | R+49.9 |
| 1960 | 61.0% | 35.2% | D+25.8 | D+3.1 |
| 1956 | 47.5% | 24.8% | D+22.7 | R+6.4 |
| 1952 | 64.4% | 35.3% | D+29.1 | R+21.8 |
| 1948 | 65.5% | 14.6% | D+50.9 | — |
What defines Lunenburg?
Lunenburg has been trending Republican — 18pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (12% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 22.8% margin
- Shifted 17.8 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Lunenburg sits inside these higher-level geographies.