Harrisonburg City County, Virginia
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 6.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 28 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 60.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 23.6% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 7.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 1.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 28.4% | 50.5% |
| Catholic | 10.0% | 17.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.8% | 15.7% |
| Other | 7.6% | 13.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.6% | 4.6% |
| Orthodox Christian | 1.1% | 1.9% |
| Black Protestant | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 43.8% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+25.4 |
| 2020 | Biden+31.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton+22.0 |
| 2012 | Obama+13.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+16.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+13.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+22.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+17.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+15.8 |
Harrisonburg City, Virginia is a county that has a population of 51,392. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+25.4. Akashic Edge tracks 28 presidential elections here, dating back to 1916.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61.7% | 36.3% | D+25.4 | R+6.4 |
| 2020 | 64.5% | 32.7% | D+31.8 | D+9.8 |
| 2016 | 56.8% | 34.8% | D+22.0 | D+8.6 |
| 2012 | 55.5% | 42.1% | D+13.4 | R+2.9 |
| 2008 | 57.5% | 41.2% | D+16.3 | D+29.4 |
| 2004 | 42.8% | 55.9% | R+13.1 | D+9.6 |
| 2000 | 35.0% | 57.7% | R+22.7 | R+4.8 |
| 1996 | 37.4% | 55.3% | R+17.9 | R+2.1 |
| 1992 | 35.4% | 51.2% | R+15.8 | D+15.3 |
| 1988 | 33.8% | 64.9% | R+31.1 | D+5.9 |
| 1984 | 31.1% | 68.2% | R+37.0 | R+11.3 |
| 1980 | 32.7% | 58.5% | R+25.7 | D+3.6 |
| 1976 | 33.7% | 63.0% | R+29.4 | D+26.8 |
| 1972 | 21.1% | 77.3% | R+56.1 | R+14.2 |
| 1968 | 23.8% | 65.7% | R+41.9 | R+40.4 |
| 1964 | 49.2% | 50.7% | R+1.5 | D+42.8 |
| 1960 | 27.7% | 72.0% | R+44.3 | D+14.3 |
| 1956 | 19.7% | 78.3% | R+58.6 | R+2.8 |
| 1952 | 22.1% | 77.8% | R+55.7 | R+29.1 |
| 1948 | 31.9% | 58.5% | R+26.6 | — |
What defines Harrisonburg City?
Harrisonburg City has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the suburban swing demographic that decides close elections. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 25.4% margin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2004
Located In
Harrisonburg City sits inside these higher-level geographies.