Leans Democratic — 31 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 61.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 21.0% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 7.9% |
▶Asian(4) | 2.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 7.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 34.9% | 45.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 20.7% | 27.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 13.6% | 17.8% |
| Other | 5.9% | 7.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 3.8% | 5.0% |
| Black Protestant | 0.8% | 1.1% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 23.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+9.8 |
| 2020 | Biden+11.5 |
| 2016 | Clinton+3.5 |
| 2012 | Obama+1.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+5.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+14.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+12.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+9.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+13.8 |
Winchester City, Virginia is a county that has a population of 27,913. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+9.8. Akashic Edge tracks 31 presidential elections here, dating back to 1904.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54.2% | 44.4% | D+9.8 | R+1.7 |
| 2020 | 54.6% | 43.1% | D+11.5 | D+8.0 |
| 2016 | 48.4% | 44.9% | D+3.5 | D+2.1 |
| 2012 | 49.5% | 48.0% | D+1.4 | R+3.9 |
| 2008 | 52.0% | 46.7% | D+5.4 | D+19.4 |
| 2004 | 42.5% | 56.5% | R+14.1 | R+1.5 |
| 2000 | 42.1% | 54.7% | R+12.6 | R+3.6 |
| 1996 | 41.9% | 51.0% | R+9.1 | D+4.8 |
| 1992 | 35.9% | 49.8% | R+13.8 | D+18.2 |
| 1988 | 33.5% | 65.5% | R+32.0 | D+9.8 |
| 1984 | 28.9% | 70.7% | R+41.8 | R+8.1 |
| 1980 | 30.3% | 64.0% | R+33.7 | R+7.1 |
| 1976 | 36.2% | 62.8% | R+26.7 | D+25.8 |
| 1972 | 23.1% | 75.5% | R+52.5 | R+24.9 |
| 1968 | 28.1% | 55.8% | R+27.6 | R+29.3 |
| 1964 | 50.8% | 49.1% | D+1.7 | D+33.4 |
| 1960 | 33.9% | 65.6% | R+31.7 | D+10.1 |
| 1956 | 27.6% | 69.5% | R+41.8 | R+3.4 |
| 1952 | 30.7% | 69.2% | R+38.5 | R+23.6 |
| 1948 | 35.1% | 50.0% | R+14.8 | — |
Winchester City has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.