Safe Democratic — 34 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
299K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe D
2024 PRES
D+20.3
TURNOUT
70.8%
#15 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$97K
COLLEGE+
39%
Place Story
Evangelical edge: 37pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 18.1pp ahead of Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.