How did Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+20.3. Kamala D Harris received 95,663 votes and Donald Trump received 62,282 out of 164,537 total votes cast, a 1.7-point shift toward Democrats from 2020.

What is Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA's political history?

Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA has 34 presidential elections on record, spanning 1892 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988. The largest single-election swing was 55.7 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA?

Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA has a population of 299,067 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 69.5% non-Hispanic white, 10.6% Hispanic, 3.3% Black. About 39% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $96,563.

Which places are most similar to Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA are Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA, Bellingham, WA, Juneau, AK. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA

Latest: 2024↑ D+1.7 vs 2020

Safe Democratic — 299K residents — 1 counties

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POPULATION
299K
COUNTIES
1
PRES MARGIN
D+20.3
2024
TURNOUT
70.8%
MEDIAN INCOME
$97K

Place Story

What defines Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA

Methodology

Reliably Democratic since 1988
- Safe D
- 10 straight D wins
Mobilization target, not persuasion target.
Biggest swing: D+55.7 in 1932
- 1928 → 1932
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.
Evangelical edge: 37pp over Catholics
- 22% Catholic / 60% Evangelical
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 18.1pp ahead of Governor
- Divergence 18.1pp in 2012
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA

Educated rural democratic

D+20.8

Similarity score98%

Bellingham, WA

Educated rural democratic

D+24.7

Similarity score94%

Juneau, AK

Educated rural democratic

D+25.8

Similarity score93%

Boulder, CO

Educated rural democratic

D+55.8

Similarity score91%

Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA

Diverse rural democratic

D+35.5

Similarity score91%

Los Alamos, NM

Educated rural democratic

D+30.2

Similarity score91%

Mount Vernon-Anacortes, WA

Educated rural democratic

D+8.8

Similarity score90%

Oak Harbor, WA

Educated rural democratic

D+16.4

Similarity score90%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Thurston	299K	D+20.3	95,663	62,282	164,537	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 164,537

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WACensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 69.5%Hispanic 10.6%Multiracial 8.2%Asian 6.1%Black 3.3%Native American 1.1%Native Hawaiian 1.0%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	69.5%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	10.6%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	8.2%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	6.1%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(12)	3.3%	12.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7)	1.1%	0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5)	1.0%	0.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8)	0.4%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

36.0%(107.7K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -41.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	21.5%	59.6%	—	—
Catholic	8.1%	22.4%	—	—
Other	4.4%	12.1%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	2.5%	6.8%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	1.9%	5.3%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.2%	0.6%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	64.0%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA metro area? 299,067 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA vs National299K residents

39% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+8 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

299K

local

299KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.09%

local

0.09%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

77.7%

local

77.7%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$96,563

local

$96,563National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.6%

local

9.6%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.5%

local

38.5%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

67.7%

local

67.7%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

40.0 yrs

local

40.0 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.4%

local

14.4%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.7%

local

18.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.3%

local

8.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.8%

local

11.8%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

88.2%

local

88.2%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

70.8%

vs Previous

-1.5pp

Voting-Age Pop

232,486

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA?

Safe DAvg margin: D+18.0 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+21.6

2012

D+19.4

2016

D+15.0

2020

D+18.6

2024

D+20.3

Elasticity

6.6pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+19.0

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (63/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Governor	D+20.3	D+11.6	8.7pp
Senate vs Governor	D+20.1	D+11.6	8.5pp
President vs Senate	D+20.3	D+20.1	0.1pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 7.9pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Washington(State)

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