Competitive — shifted 3.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Presidential margin · 2008 → 2024
2008
D+15.3
Obama
2012
D+13.6
2016
R+2.1
Trump
2020
R+1.5
2024
R+4.6
Who lives here
Economy & age
Faith & language
95% English only5% Non-English