
Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
46K
COMPETITIVENESS
Likely R
2024 PRES
R+15.9
TURNOUT
76.5%
#29 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$75K
COLLEGE+
30%
Place Story
Leans Republican since 2016
Demographically distinctive: 90% non-Hispanic white (+33pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: President ran 32.0pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Evangelical edge: 12pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.