
Safe Republican — shifted 3.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
46K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+30.9
TURNOUT
78.4%
#18 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$77K
COLLEGE+
24%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 93% non-Hispanic white (+36pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: President ran 20.4pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Evangelical edge: 17pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.