
Safe Republican — flipped 2 times in 25 elections
POPULATION
774K
HOUSE MARGIN
R+32.9
2024
PRES MARGIN
R+0.2
2024
LEAN
Tilt D
COLLEGE+
24%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 85% non-Hispanic white (+28pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: President ran 32.7pp ahead of House
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Atypical: older but Democratic-leaning (median age 42, D+11.7 avg)
Hypothesis — likely college-town or affluent-suburb effect.
2024 / 2020 precinct vintages
See how each split precinct fragment inside MI-05 voted, swung, and lines up demographically.
Unlock with Pro$33/mo| Group | MI-05 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 85.0% | 72.4% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 5.5% | 5.9% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 3.8% | 13.3% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.8% | — | 0.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% | 3.4% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% |
24% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs House | R+0.2 | R+32.9 | 32.7pp |