How did NC-01, North Carolina vote in the 2024 presidential election?

NC-01, North Carolina voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+33.3. The Democratic candidate received 249,651 votes and the Republican candidate received 123,648 out of 378,671 total votes cast, a 2.7-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is NC-01, North Carolina's political history?

NC-01, North Carolina has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 2.7 points in 2024.

What are the demographics of NC-01, North Carolina?

NC-01, North Carolina has a population of 747,584 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 47.2% non-Hispanic white, 8.2% Hispanic, 39.1% Black. About 20% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $56,285.

North Carolina's 1st Congressional District

North Carolina · Latest: 2024↓ R+3.1 vs 2022

Competitive — 25D, 0R in 25 House elections

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POPULATION
748K
HOUSE MARGIN
D+1.7
2024
PRES MARGIN
D+33.3
2024
LEAN
Safe D
COLLEGE+
20%

Place Story

What defines North Carolina's 1st Congressional District

Methodology

Reliably Democratic since 2008
- Safe D
- 5 straight D wins
Mobilization target, not persuasion target.
Demographically distinctive: 39% Black (+27pp vs national)
- 39% Black (+27pp vs national)
- 20% college+ (-15pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: President ran 31.6pp ahead of House
- Divergence 31.6pp in 2024
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.

District in State Context

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Precinct Deep Dive

2024 / 2020 precinct vintages

See how each split precinct fragment inside NC-01 voted, swung, and lines up demographically.

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Historian Query

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Explore this district's political evolution with the Historian

“How has North Carolina's 1st Congressional District voted in House elections since 2000?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

NC-01Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 47.2%Black 39.1%Hispanic 8.2%Multiracial 3.9%Asian 0.8%Native American 0.7%

Group	NC-01	State	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	47.2%	60.0%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(12)	39.1%	20.3%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	8.2%	11.3%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	3.9%	4.0%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	0.8%	3.3%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.7%	1.1%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.6%	—	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

NC-01 vs North Carolina vs National748K residents

20% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 13pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

748K

local

748KState 10.7MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.22%

local

0.22%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

75.6%

local

75.6%State 75.7%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$56,285

local

$56,285State $74,272National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.6%

local

17.6%State 13.1%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.3%

local

20.3%State 35.8%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

65.1%

local

65.1%State 66.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.9 yrs

local

41.9 yrsState 39.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.1%

local

14.1%State 16.0%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.7%

local

20.7%State 17.2%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.4%

local

4.4%State 9.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.3%

local

8.3%State 13.5%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

91.7%

local

91.7%State 86.5%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in NC-01

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

67.0%

vs Previous

-1.8pp

Voting-Age Pop

565,029

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is NC-01?

Safe DAvg margin: D+35.3 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+35.0

2012

D+37.1

2016

D+36.6

2020

D+35.9

2024

D+33.3

Elasticity

3.9pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+35.6

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in NC-01 split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (4/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs House	D+33.3	D+1.7	31.6pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 16.6pp

North Carolina Comparison Set

Other North Carolina Districts

Compare the rest of the delegation at a glance, with each card anchored to the latest House margin on current district pages.

26 sibling districts

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