How did NM-02, New Mexico vote in the 2024 presidential election?

NM-02, New Mexico voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+1.8. The Democratic candidate received 130,537 votes and the Republican candidate received 135,434 out of 271,710 total votes cast, a 7.7-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is NM-02, New Mexico's political history?

NM-02, New Mexico has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. Democrats have won 4 and Republicans 1 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 7.7 points in 2024.

What are the demographics of NM-02, New Mexico?

NM-02, New Mexico has a population of 705,849 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 29.4% non-Hispanic white, 59.9% Hispanic, 2.2% Black.

Which places are most similar to NM-02, New Mexico?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar congressional districts to NM-02, New Mexico are NM-03, NM-01, CA-25. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District

New Mexico

Competitive — presidential lean R+1.8 in 2024

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POPULATION
706K
PRES MARGIN
R+1.8
2024
LEAN
Tilt D

Place Story

What defines New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District

Methodology

Tilts Democratic
- Tilt D
Competitive with a modest baseline — persuasion matters on the margin.
Demographically distinctive: 60% Hispanic (+41pp vs national)
- 60% Hispanic (+41pp vs national)
- 29% non-Hispanic white (-28pp vs national)
Biggest swing: R+7.7 in 2024
- 2020 → 2024

District in State Context

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Precinct Deep Dive

2024 / 2020 precinct vintages

See how each split precinct fragment inside NM-02 voted, swung, and lines up demographically.

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Peer discovery

Similar districts

Districts with comparable demographics and electoral dynamics.

TBD_1

NM-03

New Mexico

Similarity93%

+7 more

NM-01 and others

Similarity0%

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Historian Query

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Explore this district's political evolution with the Historian

“How has New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District voted in House elections since 2000?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

NM-02Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Hispanic 59.9%White (Non-Hispanic) 29.4%Native American 6.2%Black 2.2%Asian 1.2%Multiracial 1.0%

Group	NM-02	State	National
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	59.9%	48.4%	19.3%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	29.4%	36.0%	57.4%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7)	6.2%	9.5%	0.9%
▶Black / African American(8)	2.2%	2.1%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	1.2%	1.8%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	1.0%	2.1%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.7%	—	0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4)	0.1%	0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

NM-02 vs New Mexico vs National706K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

706K

local

706KState 2.1MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.21%

local

0.21%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

75.7%

local

75.7%State 76.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $65,558National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 17.9%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 30.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 70.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 39.7 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 15.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 19.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 9.4%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 31.3%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 68.7%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in NM-02

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

50.8%

vs Previous

+1.2pp

Voting-Age Pop

534,368

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is NM-02?

Tilt DAvg margin: D+3.4 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+14.1

2012

D+9.9

2016

D+6.0

2020

D+5.9

2024

R+1.8

Elasticity

15.9pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+6.8

New Mexico Comparison Set

Other New Mexico Districts

Compare the rest of the delegation at a glance, with each card anchored to the latest House margin on current district pages.

4 sibling districts

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