How did VT-AL, Vermont vote in the 2024 presidential election?

VT-AL, Vermont voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+32.2. The Democratic candidate received 446,335 votes and the Republican candidate received 223,752 out of 691,350 total votes cast, a 3.3-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is VT-AL, Vermont's political history?

VT-AL, Vermont has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 13.3 points in 2012.

What are the demographics of VT-AL, Vermont?

VT-AL, Vermont has a population of 647,106 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 89.9% non-Hispanic white, 2.6% Hispanic, 1.1% Black. About 44% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $81,203.

Which places are most similar to VT-AL, Vermont?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar congressional districts to VT-AL, Vermont are ME-01, CT-02, RI-02. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Vermont's At-Large Congressional District

Vermont · Latest: 2024↓ R+3.0 vs 2022

Safe Democratic — flipped 1 time in 25 elections

Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	89.9%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	2.6%
▶Black / African American(14)	1.1%
▶Asian(6)	1.8%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	1.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.2%
Multiracial / Other	4.4%

View full demographics →

Key demographics

Metric	Value
Median household income	$81K
Bachelor's or higher	43.8%
English only at home	90.4%
Other language at home	5.3%
Foreign-born	4.3%

View full demographics →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	D+32.2
2020	D+35.5
2016	D+26.4
2012	D+23.8
2008	D+37.0

View full election history →

Vermont's At-Large Congressional District is a congressional district that has a population of 647,106. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+32.2. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

Vermont's At-Large Congressional District Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	64.6%	32.4%	D+32.2	R+3.3
2020	66.3%	30.8%	D+35.5	D+9.1
2016	56.7%	30.3%	D+26.4	D+2.7
2012	44.4%	20.7%	D+23.8	R+13.3
2008	67.5%	30.5%	D+37.0	—

Political Identity

What defines VT-AL?

VT-AL is a deep Democratic urban geography that has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. It shifted 3.3pp toward Republicans between 2020 and 2024. Its 647K residents are highly educated (44% hold a bachelor's degree).

District in State Context

Open in Cartographer

Precinct Deep Dive

2024 / 2020 precinct vintages

See how each split precinct fragment inside VT-AL voted, swung, and lines up demographically.

Unlock with Pro$33/mo

Similarity Explorer

Similar Districts

Nearest neighbors matched on demographic profile, presidential history, House performance, and ticket-splitting behavior.

1 visible match7 premium continuations

ME-01Maine

Competitive, Lean Dem Suburban

Similarity score96%

Locked continuation

7 more similar districts

Continue the similarity set with additional districts matched on demographics, presidential behavior, and House profile.

CT-02RI-02CA-02NH-02

Unlock with Pro$33/mo

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore this district's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Vermont's At-Large Congressional District voted in House elections since 2000?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 32.2% margin
College attainment is 44% — 11pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

VT-ALCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 89.9%Multiracial 4.4%Hispanic 2.6%Asian 1.8%Black 1.1%

Group	VT-AL	State	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	89.9%	89.9%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	4.4%	4.4%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	2.6%	2.6%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	1.8%	1.8%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(14)	1.1%	1.1%	12.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	1.0%	—	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.2%	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

VT-AL vs Vermont vs National647K residents

44% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

647K

local

647KState 647KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.19%

local

0.19%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

78.3%

local

78.3%State 78.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$81,203

local

$81,203State $82,074National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.1%

local

10.1%State 10.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

43.8%

local

43.8%State 44.0%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.2%

local

73.2%State 73.2%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

43.1 yrs

local

43.1 yrsState 43.4 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

15.8%

local

15.8%State 15.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

21.4%

local

21.4%State 21.4%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.3%

local

4.3%State 4.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.5%

local

5.5%State 5.5%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

94.5%

local

94.5%State 94.5%National 77.8%

Competitiveness

How competitive is VT-AL?

Safe DAvg margin: D+31.4 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+37.0

2012

D+23.8

2016

D+26.4

2020

D+35.5

2024

D+32.2

Elasticity

13.3pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+31.0

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in VT-AL split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs House	D+32.2	D+30.6	1.6pp

Max divergence: 56.1pp|Avg divergence: 26.4pp

Upgrade Path

Unlock District Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo