akashic
1876–2024
Youngstown·Ohio

Youngstown moved 6 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

Mahoning Valley's blue-collar shift reshaped Ohio's electoral math

18762024·38 elections
OH
LatestR+21in 2024
TypologyHeartland Swingcluster typology
Population637,3812024 ACS

Youngstown, Ohio: Heartland Swing market. In 2024, voted R+21%. Republican peak: R+54 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+21MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Heartland SwingAkashic typology
Population
637,3812024 5-year
Median household income
$57,4982024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
83.2%2024 5-year
Black
8.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+37 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+54 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Youngstown
TrumpR+21
2024 presidential margin by county for Youngstown, OHA map of the constituent counties of Youngstown, OH, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Mercer County, PA · R+30Mahoning County, OH · R+9Trumbull County, OH · R+17Columbiana County, OH · R+49
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican60.1%190,600
Kamala HarrisDemocratic38.7%122,603
OtherAll other candidates1.2%3,963
D+60
R+60
4 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −21.4% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−21.4%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892−9.7%
1896−18.4%
1900−20.5%
1904−39.2%
1908−12.1%
1912+6.7%
1916+2.7%
1920−32.9%
1924−53.6%
1928−41.8%
1932−11.2%
1936+28.7%
1940+17.8%
1944+16.6%
1948+14.0%
1952+0.9%
1956−13.4%
1960+7.2%
1964+37.0%
1968+10.7%
1972−11.7%
1976+16.1%
1980+3.5%
1984+9.2%
1988+17.9%
1992+22.5%
1996+27.5%
2000+16.9%
2004+16.5%
2008+16.0%
2012+15.7%
2016−10.9%
2020−15.4%
2024−21.4%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−21.4%
122,603190,600317,166
R
−15.4%
136,586186,966327,781
R
−10.9%
131,560165,860315,200
D
+15.7%
182,784132,096323,303
D
+16.0%
191,611137,633337,450
D
+16.5%
198,127141,802342,078
D
+16.9%
171,329120,050303,517
D
+27.5%
172,03988,807302,331
D
+22.5%
162,35188,119330,646
D
+17.9%
180,057125,013307,396
D
+9.2%
178,229147,810329,110
D
+3.5%
145,218134,379305,396
D
+16.1%
177,802127,570312,440
R
−11.7%
131,476167,093305,056
D
+10.7%
150,994119,102298,613
D
+37.0%
206,18194,814301,206
D
+7.2%
173,351150,174323,653
R
−13.4%
126,324165,496291,940
D
+0.9%
146,611144,088291,042
D
+14.0%
132,26199,302234,962
D
+16.6%
139,79999,916239,927
D
+17.8%
150,373104,801255,363
D
+28.7%
140,81377,191221,696
R
−11.2%
76,25596,506180,462
R
−41.8%
51,703127,055180,183
R
−53.6%
21,71595,110137,005
R
−32.9%
36,35375,500119,051
D
+2.7%
33,28231,40769,382
O
+6.7%
19,04014,94660,887
R
−12.1%
25,99733,86164,870
R
−39.2%
14,59437,93259,495
R
−20.5%
22,00133,86757,806
R
−18.4%
22,69933,14556,801
R
−9.7%
20,07924,73148,016
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
18.4%
Irish
13.6%
Italian
12.3%
English
10.1%
American
9.6%
Polish
3.5%
Scottish
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.4%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.2%
Spanish1.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
17.4%
Other Christian
11.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.6%
Mainline Protestant
4.2%
Methodist
4.0%
Baptist
2.7%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Once a union-Democratic stronghold anchored by the steel industry, the Youngstown media market has swung sharply toward Republican margins over the past decade as deindustrialization and demographic change reshaped voter allegiances across Mahoning and Trumbull counties.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-seven points in 1964 and a Republican high of fifty-four points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-one points.

A population of 637,381, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,498 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Youngstown, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/536/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Youngstown, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Youngstown, Ohio voted Republican by 21.4 points (R+21), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 317,166 votes cast, 122,603 went Democratic and 190,600 went Republican.
What is Youngstown, Ohio's political typology?
Akashic places Youngstown, Ohio in the "Heartland Swing" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 14 times, and other 1 times.
When did Youngstown, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Youngstown, Ohio voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Youngstown, Ohio?
Youngstown, Ohio has a population of 637,381 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Youngstown, Ohio?
Median household income in Youngstown, Ohio is $57,498 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Youngstown, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Youngstown, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 14 went Republican. The market's typology — "Heartland Swing" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.