Youngstown, Ohio: Heartland Swing market. In 2024, voted R+21%. Republican peak: R+54 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+21MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Heartland SwingAkashic typology
- Population
- 637,3812024 5-year
- Median household income
- $57,4982024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 60.1% | 190,600 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 38.7% | 122,603 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.2% | 3,963 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −9.7% |
| 1896 | −18.4% |
| 1900 | −20.5% |
| 1904 | −39.2% |
| 1908 | −12.1% |
| 1912 | +6.7% |
| 1916 | +2.7% |
| 1920 | −32.9% |
| 1924 | −53.6% |
| 1928 | −41.8% |
| 1932 | −11.2% |
| 1936 | +28.7% |
| 1940 | +17.8% |
| 1944 | +16.6% |
| 1948 | +14.0% |
| 1952 | +0.9% |
| 1956 | −13.4% |
| 1960 | +7.2% |
| 1964 | +37.0% |
| 1968 | +10.7% |
| 1972 | −11.7% |
| 1976 | +16.1% |
| 1980 | +3.5% |
| 1984 | +9.2% |
| 1988 | +17.9% |
| 1992 | +22.5% |
| 1996 | +27.5% |
| 2000 | +16.9% |
| 2004 | +16.5% |
| 2008 | +16.0% |
| 2012 | +15.7% |
| 2016 | −10.9% |
| 2020 | −15.4% |
| 2024 | −21.4% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 122,603 | 190,600 | 317,166 | ||
| R | 136,586 | 186,966 | 327,781 | ||
| R | 131,560 | 165,860 | 315,200 | ||
| D | 182,784 | 132,096 | 323,303 | ||
| D | 191,611 | 137,633 | 337,450 | ||
| D | 198,127 | 141,802 | 342,078 | ||
| D | 171,329 | 120,050 | 303,517 | ||
| D | 172,039 | 88,807 | 302,331 | ||
| D | 162,351 | 88,119 | 330,646 | ||
| D | 180,057 | 125,013 | 307,396 | ||
| D | 178,229 | 147,810 | 329,110 | ||
| D | 145,218 | 134,379 | 305,396 | ||
| D | 177,802 | 127,570 | 312,440 | ||
| R | 131,476 | 167,093 | 305,056 | ||
| D | 150,994 | 119,102 | 298,613 | ||
| D | 206,181 | 94,814 | 301,206 | ||
| D | 173,351 | 150,174 | 323,653 | ||
| R | 126,324 | 165,496 | 291,940 | ||
| D | 146,611 | 144,088 | 291,042 | ||
| D | 132,261 | 99,302 | 234,962 | ||
| D | 139,799 | 99,916 | 239,927 | ||
| D | 150,373 | 104,801 | 255,363 | ||
| D | 140,813 | 77,191 | 221,696 | ||
| R | 76,255 | 96,506 | 180,462 | ||
| R | 51,703 | 127,055 | 180,183 | ||
| R | 21,715 | 95,110 | 137,005 | ||
| R | 36,353 | 75,500 | 119,051 | ||
| D | 33,282 | 31,407 | 69,382 | ||
| O | 19,040 | 14,946 | 60,887 | ||
| R | 25,997 | 33,861 | 64,870 | ||
| R | 14,594 | 37,932 | 59,495 | ||
| R | 22,001 | 33,867 | 57,806 | ||
| R | 22,699 | 33,145 | 56,801 | ||
| R | 20,079 | 24,731 | 48,016 | ||
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Demographics
Once a union-Democratic stronghold anchored by the steel industry, the Youngstown media market has swung sharply toward Republican margins over the past decade as deindustrialization and demographic change reshaped voter allegiances across Mahoning and Trumbull counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-seven points in 1964 and a Republican high of fifty-four points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-one points.
A population of 637,381, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,498 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
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Youngstown, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/536/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.