akashic
1876–2024
Yuma-El Centro·California

Yuma-El Centro moved 19 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

A border media market where agriculture and migration policy dominate the airwaves

1876 — 2024·38 elections
CA
LatestR+12in 2024
TypologyNew Americancluster typology
Population391,9432024 ACS

Yuma-El Centro, California: New American market. In 2024, voted R+12%. Democratic peak: D+41 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+12MIT Election Lab
Political typology
New AmericanAkashic typology
Population
391,9432024 5-year
Median household income
$60,4882024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
29.4%2024 5-year
Black
1.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
74.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+41 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+31 in 1920MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Yuma-El Centro
TrumpR+12
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Yuma-El Centro, CAA map of the constituent counties of Yuma-El Centro, CA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Imperial County, CA · R+1Yuma County, AZ · R+20
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican55.1%67,291
Kamala HarrisDemocratic43.3%52,906
OtherAll other candidates1.7%2,023
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −11.8% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−11.8%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892No data
1896No data
1900No data
1904No data
1908−12.3%
1912+36.7%
1916+13.2%
1920−30.9%
1924−31.4%
1928−30.8%
1932+40.8%
1936+30.8%
1940+15.1%
1944+4.5%
1948+6.6%
1952−17.0%
1956−6.3%
1960−1.2%
1964+5.9%
1968−12.6%
1972−29.1%
1976−4.3%
1980−26.9%
1984−30.3%
1988−15.2%
1992+0.1%
1996+7.7%
2000−1.2%
2004−5.6%
2008+5.0%
2012+8.8%
2016+19.2%
2020+7.5%
2024−11.8%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−11.8%
52,90667,291122,220
D
+7.5%
66,88857,381126,815
D
+19.2%
57,27237,869101,101
D
+8.8%
43,19536,12980,638
D
+5.0%
42,72138,58582,435
R
−5.6%
33,99638,07472,803
R
−1.2%
27,54428,23257,589
D
+7.7%
26,85822,71854,071
D
+0.1%
21,47621,41153,363
R
−15.2%
19,19526,14245,845
R
−30.3%
14,69527,67742,782
R
−26.9%
13,97525,46142,724
R
−4.3%
18,24219,94239,142
R
−29.1%
12,73723,77437,955
R
−12.6%
13,25117,67435,079
D
+5.9%
19,00016,87835,902
R
−1.2%
15,76116,15332,010
R
−6.3%
13,97315,85629,894
R
−17.0%
10,77715,22326,108
D
+6.6%
9,7848,54118,774
D
+4.5%
8,5577,81016,425
D
+15.1%
11,8668,72420,743
D
+30.8%
10,9885,74717,043
D
+40.8%
12,2354,94517,869
R
−30.8%
4,0757,74511,929
R
−31.4%
1,6104,7359,938
R
−30.9%
3,1996,30510,067
D
+13.2%
4,5953,4218,899
O
+36.7%
1,719904,434
R
−12.3%
6759091,908
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
4.2%
English
4.1%
Irish
2.9%
American
2.3%
Italian
1.1%
French
0.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 34.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.2%
3.0%
75–84
3.3%
4.3%
65–74
4.8%
4.8%
55–64
5.0%
5.1%
45–54
5.0%
6.5%
35–44
5.6%
7.8%
25–34
6.3%
5.7%
18–24
4.4%
9.9%
5–17
9.5%
3.5%
<5
3.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$60,488
Yuma-El Centro ranks near the middle of US counties.
Yuma-El Centro$60,488
California$99,122
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
17.4%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1822.3%
Working age (18–64)15.6%
Seniors (65+)15.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
35.4%
speak English only
Spanish62.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
46.0%
Other Christian
7.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Baptist
1.6%
Mainline Protestant
0.7%
Non-Christian
0.4%
Methodist
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 41.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Spanning the Colorado River desert from southwestern Arizona into California's Imperial Valley, this market's electorate is shaped by Latino majorities, year-round farm labor, and one of the nation's busiest land-border crossing corridors.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty-one points in 1932 and a Republican high of thirty-one points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved nineteen points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twelve points.

A population of 391,943, a 29% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,488 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Yuma-El Centro, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/771/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Yuma-El Centro, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Yuma-El Centro, California voted Republican by 11.8 points (R+12), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 122,220 votes cast, 52,906 went Democratic and 67,291 went Republican.
What is Yuma-El Centro, California's political typology?
Akashic places Yuma-El Centro, California in the "New American" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 16 times, and other 1 times.
When did Yuma-El Centro, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Yuma-El Centro, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Yuma-El Centro, California?
Yuma-El Centro, California has a population of 391,943 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Yuma-El Centro, California?
Median household income in Yuma-El Centro, California is $60,488 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Yuma-El Centro, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Yuma-El Centro, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The market's typology — "New American" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.