akashic
1876–2024
Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn·Pennsylvania

Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn delivered R+24 in 2024.

A blue-collar corridor where presidential margins have swung 20+ points in a decade

18762024·38 elections
PA
LatestR+24in 2024
TypologyIndustrial Catholic Metrocluster typology
Population1,508,9062024 ACS

Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn, Pennsylvania: Industrial Catholic Metro market. In 2024, voted R+24%. Republican peak: R+34 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+24MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
Population
1,508,9062024 5-year
Median household income
$67,5192024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
82.9%2024 5-year
Black
4.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
9.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+31 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+34 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn
TrumpR+24
2024 presidential margin by county for Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn, PAA map of the constituent counties of Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn, PA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Monroe County, PA · R+1Wyoming County, PA · R+37Clinton County, PA · R+41Bradford County, PA · R+48Lycoming County, PA · R+41Sullivan County, PA · R+47Columbia County, PA · R+31Carbon County, PA · R+35Wayne County, PA · R+37Montour County, PA · R+21Snyder County, PA · R+47Union County, PA · R+23Susquehanna County, PA · R+45Northumberland County, PA · R+40Luzerne County, PA · R+19Schuylkill County, PA · R+42Lackawanna County, PA · D+3
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican61.7%478,752
Kamala HarrisDemocratic37.2%288,859
OtherAll other candidates1.1%8,341
D+60
R+60
17 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −24.5% in 2024.flipped R · 2012−24.5%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+3.5%
1896−11.8%
1900−6.8%
1904−27.4%
1908−11.4%
1912+24.4%
1916−5.0%
1920−27.4%
1924−33.6%
1928−16.9%
1932+1.4%
1936+9.3%
1940+3.6%
1944−4.1%
1948−9.6%
1952−16.6%
1956−22.3%
1960−0.6%
1964+30.9%
1968−1.1%
1972−27.5%
1976+1.6%
1980−14.1%
1984−20.3%
1988−13.7%
1992−2.0%
1996+3.6%
2000−3.9%
2004−8.7%
2008+1.2%
2012−3.7%
2016−24.4%
2020−20.9%
2024−24.5%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−24.5%
288,859478,752775,952
R
−20.9%
293,799451,440754,604
R
−24.4%
236,644398,321662,939
R
−3.7%
286,337308,956606,505
D
+1.2%
326,142318,460652,572
R
−8.7%
288,262344,028638,058
R
−3.9%
258,147280,068559,638
D
+3.6%
232,328213,720513,938
R
−2.0%
217,684228,750561,203
R
−13.7%
216,234285,642505,997
R
−20.3%
210,549318,653533,625
R
−14.1%
214,102289,500536,394
D
+1.6%
275,173266,171549,677
R
−27.5%
194,896346,206549,409
R
−1.1%
270,012276,177577,478
D
+30.9%
391,445205,867599,912
R
−0.6%
330,022334,096665,205
R
−22.3%
235,003370,410607,149
R
−16.6%
257,463360,528619,875
R
−9.6%
232,439282,688521,345
R
−4.1%
258,157280,067539,998
D
+3.6%
333,126309,824644,904
D
+9.3%
370,834307,079686,447
D
+1.4%
227,954221,370460,858
R
−16.9%
229,022322,812553,681
R
−33.6%
92,327215,085365,284
R
−27.4%
114,492206,711336,510
R
−5.0%
96,643107,373214,646
O
+24.4%
77,89927,325207,665
R
−11.4%
94,715120,335225,283
R
−27.4%
71,442129,064210,584
R
−6.8%
94,363108,601210,832
R
−11.8%
91,093116,572215,568
D
+3.5%
87,36581,264176,100
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.8%
Irish
15.3%
Italian
11.5%
Polish
8.9%
English
7.8%
American
4.6%
French
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.4%
speak English only
Spanish6.0%
Other Indo-European2.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
23.5%
Mainline Protestant
6.7%
Other Christian
6.2%
Methodist
5.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.2%
Non-Christian
1.4%
Baptist
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by the deindustrialized Wyoming Valley and the Lackawanna County seat, this Northeastern Pennsylvania media market has shifted sharply rightward in presidential cycles while retaining competitive down-ballot races driven by union household legacy and Catholic voter density.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of thirty-one points in 1964 and a Republican high of thirty-four points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-four points.

A population of 1,508,906, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,519 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/577/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 24.5 points (R+24), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 775,952 votes cast, 288,859 went Democratic and 478,752 went Republican.
What is Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn, Pennsylvania's political typology?
Akashic places Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn, Pennsylvania in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 25 times, and other 1 times.
When did Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn, Pennsylvania?
Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn, Pennsylvania has a population of 1,508,906 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn, Pennsylvania is $67,519 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The market's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.