Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota: Diversifying Metro market. In 2024, voted D+5%. Republican peak: R+56 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+5MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 4,908,2642024 5-year
- Median household income
- $93,9292024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56 in 1904MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Minneapolis-St. Paul
HarrisD+5
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Kamala Harris ✓Democratic | 51.5% | 1,446,825 |
|---|---|---|
| Donald TrumpRepublican | 46.1% | 1,293,482 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 2.4% | 68,394 |
D+60R+60
57 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +3.3% |
| 1896 | −19.1% |
| 1900 | −27.1% |
| 1904 | −55.6% |
| 1908 | −26.7% |
| 1912 | +11.6% |
| 1916 | +0.6% |
| 1920 | −52.0% |
| 1924 | −42.7% |
| 1928 | −16.0% |
| 1932 | +24.7% |
| 1936 | +27.2% |
| 1940 | −0.7% |
| 1944 | +2.1% |
| 1948 | +15.1% |
| 1952 | −12.4% |
| 1956 | −9.9% |
| 1960 | +0.3% |
| 1964 | +26.5% |
| 1968 | +11.6% |
| 1972 | −5.4% |
| 1976 | +13.2% |
| 1980 | +4.8% |
| 1984 | −0.7% |
| 1988 | +7.0% |
| 1992 | +12.0% |
| 1996 | +16.6% |
| 2000 | +2.5% |
| 2004 | +3.1% |
| 2008 | +9.5% |
| 2012 | +7.0% |
| 2016 | +2.9% |
| 2020 | +8.5% |
| 2024 | +5.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 1,446,825 | 1,293,482 | 2,808,701 | ||
| D | 1,496,733 | 1,257,681 | 2,819,578 | ||
| D | 1,188,079 | 1,115,231 | 2,516,876 | ||
| D | 1,310,803 | 1,135,323 | 2,503,814 | ||
| D | 1,326,697 | 1,091,200 | 2,468,131 | ||
| D | 1,216,541 | 1,142,431 | 2,388,742 | ||
| D | 976,985 | 926,258 | 2,038,087 | ||
| D | 925,219 | 625,371 | 1,803,865 | ||
| D | 840,506 | 608,754 | 1,931,056 | ||
| D | 903,467 | 784,830 | 1,705,622 | ||
| R | 823,616 | 834,801 | 1,669,868 | ||
| D | 759,651 | 682,244 | 1,626,424 | ||
| D | 839,878 | 638,903 | 1,526,354 | ||
| R | 620,242 | 693,123 | 1,347,275 | ||
| D | 647,184 | 506,877 | 1,211,451 | ||
| D | 739,954 | 429,334 | 1,172,104 | ||
| D | 574,433 | 571,074 | 1,148,376 | ||
| R | 446,386 | 544,254 | 992,716 | ||
| R | 444,472 | 571,064 | 1,020,562 | ||
| D | 495,976 | 362,402 | 881,710 | ||
| D | 417,952 | 400,709 | 824,858 | ||
| R | 445,096 | 451,033 | 904,051 | ||
| D | 483,839 | 261,093 | 818,977 | ||
| D | 445,298 | 264,360 | 731,337 | ||
| R | 298,501 | 413,278 | 719,297 | ||
| R | 42,307 | 296,494 | 594,928 | ||
| R | 100,069 | 375,136 | 528,878 | ||
| D | 133,431 | 131,785 | 284,030 | ||
| O | 78,375 | 50,641 | 239,408 | ||
| R | 80,535 | 144,900 | 241,482 | ||
| R | 41,521 | 164,087 | 220,455 | ||
| R | 80,915 | 144,467 | 234,272 | ||
| R | 98,345 | 146,417 | 251,281 | ||
| D | 89,607 | 82,988 | 202,213 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
29.3%
Irish
10.3%
English
6.7%
Polish
3.9%
American
3.2%
French
2.7%
Italian
2.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$93,929
Minneapolis-St. Paul ranks near the middle of US counties.
Minneapolis-St. Paul$93,929
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
8.9%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1810.1%
Working age (18–64)8.3%
Seniors (65+)10.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.9%
speak English only
Spanish4.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.7%
Other languages3.1%
Other Indo-European1.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
The Minneapolis–St. Paul designated market area spans the metro's mix of high-density urban precincts and fast-growing exurban counties, producing notable ticket-splitting patterns in statewide races that routinely tip on single-digit margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of twenty-seven points in 1936 and a Republican high of fifty-six points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was five points.
A population of 4,908,264, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $93,929 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/613/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota voted Democratic by 5.5 points (D+5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,808,701 votes cast, 1,446,825 went Democratic and 1,293,482 went Republican.
What is Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota's political typology?
Akashic places Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota in the "Diversifying Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 12 times, and other 1 times.
When did Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota?
Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota has a population of 4,908,264 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota?
Median household income in Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota is $93,929 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 12 went Republican. The market's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.