Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn), North Dakota: Farm Belt market. In 2024, voted R+52%. Republican peak: R+60 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Farm BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 426,5662024 5-year
- Median household income
- $79,7562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60 in 1892MIT Election Lab
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 74.7% | 149,528 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 22.9% | 45,891 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 2.4% | 4,798 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −60.3% |
| 1896 | −27.3% |
| 1900 | −36.6% |
| 1904 | −59.2% |
| 1908 | −32.0% |
| 1912 | +4.2% |
| 1916 | +6.6% |
| 1920 | −59.1% |
| 1924 | −35.4% |
| 1928 | −6.1% |
| 1932 | +45.9% |
| 1936 | +36.3% |
| 1940 | −15.9% |
| 1944 | −15.3% |
| 1948 | −13.0% |
| 1952 | −47.0% |
| 1956 | −24.1% |
| 1960 | −8.5% |
| 1964 | +15.0% |
| 1968 | −21.0% |
| 1972 | −31.6% |
| 1976 | −5.1% |
| 1980 | −43.9% |
| 1984 | −36.1% |
| 1988 | −16.0% |
| 1992 | −12.3% |
| 1996 | −9.3% |
| 2000 | −32.3% |
| 2004 | −33.4% |
| 2008 | −20.7% |
| 2012 | −33.0% |
| 2016 | −50.5% |
| 2020 | −49.5% |
| 2024 | −51.8% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 45,891 | 149,528 | 200,217 | ||
| R | 47,581 | 146,554 | 199,825 | ||
| R | 38,459 | 133,269 | 187,652 | ||
| R | 55,395 | 112,575 | 173,011 | ||
| R | 64,751 | 99,593 | 168,415 | ||
| R | 53,946 | 109,424 | 166,125 | ||
| R | 47,007 | 95,994 | 151,748 | ||
| R | 54,811 | 68,429 | 145,708 | ||
| R | 51,770 | 72,593 | 168,936 | ||
| R | 67,959 | 94,207 | 164,119 | ||
| R | 54,353 | 117,263 | 174,373 | ||
| R | 41,218 | 115,722 | 169,663 | ||
| R | 73,751 | 81,953 | 159,962 | ||
| R | 50,164 | 98,562 | 153,073 | ||
| R | 50,896 | 80,139 | 139,462 | ||
| D | 83,549 | 61,691 | 145,488 | ||
| R | 70,985 | 84,258 | 155,406 | ||
| R | 54,246 | 88,819 | 143,359 | ||
| R | 39,134 | 109,537 | 149,777 | ||
| R | 49,435 | 65,080 | 120,784 | ||
| R | 50,489 | 68,866 | 120,376 | ||
| R | 66,237 | 91,519 | 159,174 | ||
| D | 97,246 | 39,360 | 159,636 | ||
| D | 105,923 | 37,466 | 149,035 | ||
| R | 62,625 | 70,880 | 135,033 | ||
| O | 6,687 | 45,363 | 109,182 | ||
| R | 19,816 | 87,740 | 115,010 | ||
| D | 36,444 | 31,617 | 73,305 | ||
| O | 13,187 | 11,382 | 43,382 | ||
| R | 13,886 | 27,941 | 43,958 | ||
| R | 4,929 | 20,722 | 26,698 | ||
| R | 4,447 | 9,705 | 14,372 | ||
| R | 3,056 | 5,369 | 8,466 | ||
| R | 0 | 3,823 | 6,343 | ||
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Demographics
Spanning the Bakken formation's western edge, this market blends legacy ranching communities with a boom-bust energy workforce that has repeatedly shifted population counts and precinct-level turnout across a half-dozen counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty-six points in 1932 and a Republican high of sixty points in 1892. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty-two points.
A population of 426,566, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,756 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
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Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn), North Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/687/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.