akashic
1876–2024
Memphis·Mississippi

Memphis moved 7 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

Majority-Black metro where turnout margins routinely decide statewide races

18762024·38 elections
MS
LatestR+4in 2024
TypologyBlack Beltcluster typology
Population1,798,6782024 ACS

Memphis, Mississippi: Black Belt market. In 2024, voted R+4%. Democratic peak: D+83 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+4MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Black BeltAkashic typology
Population
1,798,6782024 5-year
Median household income
$63,2692024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
46.7%2024 5-year
Black
42.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+83 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+37 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Memphis
TrumpR+4
2024 presidential margin by county for Memphis, MSA map of the constituent counties of Memphis, MS, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Tunica County, MS · D+39Cross County, AR · R+48Lafayette County, MS · R+22Lauderdale County, TN · R+37Pemiscot County, MO · R+49Fayette County, TN · R+42Crockett County, TN · R+59Mississippi County, AR · R+32Hardeman County, TN · R+24Panola County, MS · R+15Lee County, AR · D+4Dyer County, TN · R+62Haywood County, TN · TiedSt. Francis County, AR · D+1Crittenden County, AR · D+2Tipton County, TN · R+53Tate County, MS · R+44Poinsett County, AR · R+64Alcorn County, MS · R+68Phillips County, AR · D+13Quitman County, MS · D+31Benton County, MS · R+31Coahoma County, MS · D+40McNairy County, TN · R+68Tippah County, MS · R+67Shelby County, TN · D+25DeSoto County, MS · R+24Marshall County, MS · R+7
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican50.9%345,345
Kamala HarrisDemocratic47.2%319,766
OtherAll other candidates1.9%12,823
D+60
R+60
28 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −3.8% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−3.8%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+37.6%
1896+37.6%
1900+39.0%
1904+40.0%
1908+30.7%
1912+49.8%
1916+51.4%
1920+31.7%
1924+44.9%
1928+37.7%
1932+73.3%
1936+83.1%
1940+71.9%
1944+61.5%
1948+26.7%
1952+17.2%
1956+12.7%
1960+5.6%
1964+0.6%
1968+6.7%
1972−37.3%
1976+16.0%
1980+8.2%
1984−4.9%
1988−4.4%
1992+10.9%
1996+12.9%
2000+6.6%
2004+3.9%
2008+8.0%
2012+6.5%
2016+2.4%
2020+3.4%
2024−3.8%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−3.8%
319,766345,345677,934
D
+3.4%
379,441353,857745,947
D
+2.4%
333,094317,155670,349
D
+6.5%
379,221332,506719,258
D
+8.0%
408,216347,271762,030
D
+3.9%
357,760330,674693,227
D
+6.6%
316,381276,659601,407
D
+12.9%
308,720234,995573,570
D
+10.9%
330,752261,314635,730
R
−4.4%
256,936280,793541,755
R
−4.9%
273,278301,867579,000
D
+8.2%
288,986244,220548,565
D
+16.0%
287,833207,503501,398
R
−37.3%
130,868291,851431,654
O
+6.7%
141,176112,424428,129
D
+0.6%
180,828178,628359,597
D
+5.6%
145,678129,517290,576
D
+12.7%
132,257100,892246,774
D
+17.2%
150,885106,596257,872
D
+26.7%
63,58724,472146,579
D
+61.5%
109,52426,056135,749
D
+71.9%
132,19221,486153,987
D
+83.1%
123,30211,237134,899
D
+73.3%
100,60015,082116,698
D
+37.7%
65,63729,62995,432
D
+44.9%
53,10819,28675,378
D
+31.7%
56,41329,00686,357
D
+51.4%
44,93014,24859,651
D
+49.8%
29,2346,71645,229
D
+30.7%
26,71513,96241,594
D
+40.0%
30,48512,85544,068
D
+39.0%
35,48015,41951,423
D
+37.6%
40,42418,07859,445
D
+37.6%
32,21913,06550,983
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
8.5%
American
6.8%
Irish
6.5%
German
5.2%
Italian
1.7%
Scottish
1.2%
French
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.3%
speak English only
Spanish4.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
28.7%
Other Christian
14.9%
Methodist
6.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.9%
Catholic & Orthodox
4.0%
Mainline Protestant
2.5%
Non-Christian
1.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 36.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Memphis media market anchors Tennessee's western tip and pulls in corners of Arkansas and Mississippi, making it a rare cross-state audience zone where urban Democratic concentration meets competitive suburban counties just across the state line.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of eighty-three points in 1936 and a Republican high of thirty-seven points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved seven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was four points.

A population of 1,798,678, a 47% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,269 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Memphis, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/640/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Memphis, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Memphis, Mississippi voted Republican by 3.8 points (R+4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 677,934 votes cast, 319,766 went Democratic and 345,345 went Republican.
What is Memphis, Mississippi's political typology?
Akashic places Memphis, Mississippi in the "Black Belt" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 29 times, Republican 4 times, and other 1 times.
When did Memphis, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Memphis, Mississippi voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Memphis, Mississippi?
Memphis, Mississippi has a population of 1,798,678 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Memphis, Mississippi?
Median household income in Memphis, Mississippi is $63,269 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Memphis, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Memphis, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 4 went Republican. The market's typology — "Black Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.