Nashville, Tennessee: Sunbelt Conservative market. In 2024, voted R+28%. Democratic peak: D+45 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Sunbelt ConservativeAkashic typology
- Population
- 3,150,5082024 5-year
- Median household income
- $79,4962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+45 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+28 in 2024MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Nashville
TrumpR+28
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 63.1% | 871,644 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 35.2% | 485,893 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.7% | 23,175 |
D+60R+60
49 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +24.7% |
| 1896 | +20.0% |
| 1900 | +21.0% |
| 1904 | +21.2% |
| 1908 | +19.6% |
| 1912 | +30.9% |
| 1916 | +24.3% |
| 1920 | +10.8% |
| 1924 | +23.5% |
| 1928 | −0.8% |
| 1932 | +44.4% |
| 1936 | +44.5% |
| 1940 | +41.1% |
| 1944 | +34.1% |
| 1948 | +34.1% |
| 1952 | +22.0% |
| 1956 | +24.9% |
| 1960 | +11.8% |
| 1964 | +33.8% |
| 1968 | −0.9% |
| 1972 | −26.9% |
| 1976 | +29.4% |
| 1980 | +14.7% |
| 1984 | −10.7% |
| 1988 | −11.8% |
| 1992 | +12.1% |
| 1996 | +6.8% |
| 2000 | +0.6% |
| 2004 | −14.0% |
| 2008 | −14.6% |
| 2012 | −20.7% |
| 2016 | −25.6% |
| 2020 | −21.6% |
| 2024 | −27.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 485,893 | 871,644 | 1,380,712 | ||
| R | 514,605 | 806,588 | 1,349,721 | ||
| R | 372,377 | 647,586 | 1,073,610 | ||
| R | 395,642 | 606,987 | 1,019,190 | ||
| R | 448,989 | 605,372 | 1,069,077 | ||
| R | 419,420 | 557,288 | 983,177 | ||
| D | 404,558 | 399,719 | 817,611 | ||
| D | 362,391 | 312,691 | 726,314 | ||
| D | 366,799 | 278,232 | 731,239 | ||
| R | 259,005 | 328,587 | 590,772 | ||
| R | 267,137 | 331,938 | 603,355 | ||
| D | 318,384 | 234,623 | 568,791 | ||
| D | 325,914 | 176,729 | 508,123 | ||
| R | 139,159 | 245,280 | 395,209 | ||
| O | 128,655 | 132,661 | 433,137 | ||
| D | 262,078 | 129,684 | 391,906 | ||
| D | 201,168 | 158,359 | 362,379 | ||
| D | 206,237 | 123,526 | 332,506 | ||
| D | 195,052 | 124,486 | 320,466 | ||
| D | 127,634 | 56,011 | 209,758 | ||
| D | 136,217 | 66,827 | 203,608 | ||
| D | 146,879 | 61,076 | 208,514 | ||
| D | 130,993 | 50,060 | 181,752 | ||
| D | 129,524 | 49,442 | 180,301 | ||
| R | 83,144 | 84,408 | 167,766 | ||
| D | 89,698 | 54,960 | 148,090 | ||
| D | 114,847 | 92,383 | 208,204 | ||
| D | 86,939 | 52,713 | 141,065 | ||
| D | 80,037 | 38,693 | 133,732 | ||
| D | 80,164 | 53,632 | 135,446 | ||
| D | 74,704 | 48,046 | 125,657 | ||
| D | 83,869 | 54,330 | 140,947 | ||
| D | 95,132 | 62,930 | 160,974 | ||
| D | 73,653 | 41,101 | 131,982 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
13.6%
American
12.0%
German
9.6%
Irish
9.1%
Italian
2.4%
Scottish
2.2%
French
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$79,496
Nashville ranks near the middle of US counties.
Nashville$79,496
Tennessee$69,595
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1816.2%
Working age (18–64)10.9%
Seniors (65+)10.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.1%
speak English only
Spanish6.3%
Other Indo-European1.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.4%
Other languages1.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
The Nashville DMA spans a swath of Middle Tennessee counties that have trended toward tighter margins as in-migration from coastal metros accelerates, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide suburban sentiment.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of forty-five points in 1936 and a Republican high of twenty-eight points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-eight points.
A population of 3,150,508, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,496 describe the market.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Nashville, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/659/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Nashville, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Nashville, Tennessee voted Republican by 27.9 points (R+28), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,380,712 votes cast, 485,893 went Democratic and 871,644 went Republican.
What is Nashville, Tennessee's political typology?
Akashic places Nashville, Tennessee in the "Sunbelt Conservative" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 10 times, and other 1 times.
When did Nashville, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Nashville, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Nashville, Tennessee?
Nashville, Tennessee has a population of 3,150,508 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nashville, Tennessee?
Median household income in Nashville, Tennessee is $79,496 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Nashville, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Nashville, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 10 went Republican. The market's typology — "Sunbelt Conservative" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.