akashic
1876–2024
Missoula·Montana

Missoula has voted Republican in eight straight presidential elections — R+14 in 2024.

A college-anchored market where urban precincts diverge sharply from surrounding ranch country

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MT
LatestR+14in 2024
TypologyIndustrial Catholic Metrocluster typology
Population332,3612024 ACS

Missoula, Montana: Industrial Catholic Metro market. In 2024, voted R+14%. Democratic peak: D+73 in 1896.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+14MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
Population
332,3612024 5-year
Median household income
$72,1592024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
86.8%2024 5-year
Black
0.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+73 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+30 in 1904MIT Election Lab
2024 presidential election
Missoula
TrumpR+14
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Missoula, MTA map of the constituent counties of Missoula, MT, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Flathead County, MT · R+34Granite County, MT · R+44Sanders County, MT · R+55Mineral County, MT · R+48Ravalli County, MT · R+41Missoula County, MT · D+21Lake County, MT · R+20
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican55.6%108,929
Kamala HarrisDemocratic41.3%80,933
OtherAll other candidates3.0%5,943
D+60
R+60
7 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −14.3% in 2024.flipped R · 1996−14.3%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+5.7%
1896+73.5%
1900+15.1%
1904−30.1%
1908−5.6%
1912+19.3%
1916+11.9%
1920−19.4%
1924−20.6%
1928−25.7%
1932+18.4%
1936+37.6%
1940+9.6%
1944−3.8%
1948+2.3%
1952−21.7%
1956−18.3%
1960−7.8%
1964+17.4%
1968−11.7%
1972−17.6%
1976−8.2%
1980−23.2%
1984−21.9%
1988−5.3%
1992+5.1%
1996−3.9%
2000−26.8%
2004−18.4%
2008−0.1%
2012−10.9%
2016−15.4%
2020−10.4%
2024−14.3%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−14.3%
80,933108,929195,805
R
−10.4%
82,454102,011188,851
R
−15.4%
58,04481,638153,697
R
−10.9%
62,75978,706146,284
R
−0.1%
71,25171,431148,344
R
−18.4%
52,12276,379132,170
R
−26.8%
35,74767,078117,051
R
−3.9%
44,38148,762111,370
D
+5.1%
41,38635,905107,749
R
−5.3%
41,51146,28489,488
R
−21.9%
34,93754,99491,472
R
−23.2%
27,63647,41985,324
R
−8.2%
32,73638,71072,948
R
−17.6%
26,21438,04667,343
R
−11.7%
20,00726,06951,696
D
+17.4%
30,75821,62652,496
R
−7.8%
23,15527,07950,388
R
−18.3%
19,78128,66648,447
R
−21.7%
17,81327,81345,988
D
+2.3%
18,35417,50337,334
R
−3.8%
15,00116,19631,542
D
+9.6%
21,31217,51839,374
D
+37.6%
22,2859,54633,908
D
+18.4%
17,08411,42830,687
R
−25.7%
9,38316,01525,826
O
−20.6%
3,3668,51525,024
R
−19.4%
8,29912,71522,760
D
+11.9%
11,7859,08022,647
O
+19.3%
4,2471,85012,415
R
−5.6%
4,9295,58111,684
R
−30.1%
2,9015,8679,840
D
+15.1%
5,1663,7899,098
D
+73.5%
6,9071,0467,977
D
+5.7%
2,3402,0455,136
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Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
20.9%
English
14.8%
Irish
13.6%
American
4.5%
Italian
3.8%
French
3.1%
Scottish
3.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.1%
3.1%
75–84
3.1%
6.5%
65–74
6.8%
6.4%
55–64
6.7%
5.8%
45–54
5.5%
6.5%
35–44
6.4%
6.4%
25–34
6.2%
4.5%
18–24
4.3%
7.7%
5–17
7.2%
2.5%
<5
2.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$72,159
Missoula ranks near the middle of US counties.
Missoula$72,159
Montana$72,509
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.6%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1810.7%
Working age (18–64)10.7%
Seniors (65+)9.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.9%
speak English only
Other Indo-European1.5%
Spanish1.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
13.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
6.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.1%
Mainline Protestant
3.8%
Baptist
1.3%
Methodist
0.7%
Non-Christian
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 69.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Missoula's media market pairs one of Montana's most reliably Democratic cities with vast rural stretches that vote in the opposite direction, making it a study in the urban-rural split that defines statewide contests.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of seventy-three points in 1896 and a Republican high of thirty points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fourteen points.

A population of 332,361, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,159 describe the market.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Missoula, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/762/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Missoula, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Missoula, Montana voted Republican by 14.3 points (R+14), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 195,805 votes cast, 80,933 went Democratic and 108,929 went Republican.
What is Missoula, Montana's political typology?
Akashic places Missoula, Montana in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 22 times, and other 2 times.
When did Missoula, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Missoula, Montana voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Missoula, Montana?
Missoula, Montana has a population of 332,361 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Missoula, Montana?
Median household income in Missoula, Montana is $72,159 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Missoula, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Missoula, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The market's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.