West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce
Leans Republican — shifted 10.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 2.3M residents — 5 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 53.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 22.7% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 17.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 1.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 19.9% | 50.5% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 10.8% | 27.4% |
| Other | 4.5% | 11.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.3% | 5.9% |
| Black Protestant | 1.6% | 4.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.3% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.3% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 60.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+6.8 |
| 2020 | Biden+3.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton+5.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+8.5 |
| 2008 | Obama+14.4 |
| 2004 | Kerry+11.9 |
| 2000 | Gore+16.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+15.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+5.2 |
West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce is a media market that has a population of 2,264,234. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+6.8. Akashic Edge tracks 30 presidential elections here, dating back to 1908.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46.2% | 53.0% | R+6.8 | R+10.5 |
| 2020 | 51.6% | 47.8% | D+3.8 | R+1.4 |
| 2016 | 51.4% | 46.2% | D+5.2 | R+3.3 |
| 2012 | 53.8% | 45.3% | D+8.5 | R+5.9 |
| 2008 | 56.8% | 42.4% | D+14.4 | D+2.5 |
| 2004 | 55.6% | 43.7% | D+11.9 | R+5.0 |
| 2000 | 57.3% | 40.4% | D+16.9 | D+1.1 |
| 1996 | 53.3% | 37.5% | D+15.8 | D+10.6 |
| 1992 | 41.8% | 36.5% | D+5.2 | D+24.2 |
| 1988 | 40.3% | 59.2% | R+19.0 | D+10.2 |
| 1984 | 35.4% | 64.6% | R+29.2 | R+6.2 |
| 1980 | 35.3% | 58.4% | R+23.0 | R+21.8 |
| 1976 | 48.5% | 49.7% | R+1.2 | D+46.5 |
| 1972 | 25.9% | 73.6% | R+47.7 | R+24.1 |
| 1968 | 27.8% | 51.3% | R+23.6 | R+18.0 |
| 1964 | 47.2% | 52.8% | R+5.6 | D+12.6 |
| 1960 | 40.9% | 59.1% | R+18.2 | D+21.6 |
| 1956 | 30.0% | 69.8% | R+39.8 | R+7.9 |
| 1952 | 34.1% | 65.9% | R+31.9 | R+28.4 |
| 1948 | 40.3% | 43.7% | R+3.5 | — |
What defines West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce?
West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce has been trending Republican — 15pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a heavily immigrant community where nativity and ethnic networks shape the political landscape.
Constituent Counties
Counties in West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palm Beach | 1.5M | D+0.8 | 372,512 | 366,836 | 745,709 | 65.2% |
| St. Lucie | 361K | R+9.1 | 83,517 | 100,293 | 185,131 | 16.2% |
| Indian River | 167K | R+27.4 | 35,654 | 62,737 | 99,017 | 8.7% |
| Martin | 162K | R+31.1 | 33,539 | 64,121 | 98,291 | 8.6% |
| Okeechobee | 41K | R+53.8 | 3,671 | 12,315 | 16,058 | 1.4% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Swung 10.5 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 15.3 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 53.5% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 22.7% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 17.0% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.5% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 1.0% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +18.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.9% | 50.5% | — | — | |
| 10.8% | 27.4% | — | — | |
| 4.5% | 11.3% | — | — | |
| 2.3% | 5.9% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 4.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.3% | — | — |
| 0.3% | 0.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 60.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce media market? 2,264,234 residents across 5 counties.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce
How competitive is West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce?
Do voters in West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+6.8 | R+5.3 | 1.5pp |