Elmira (Corning)
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 233K residents — 4 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 2.6% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 3.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 14.7% | 36.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 11.4% | 28.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.4% | 26.0% |
| Other | 1.8% | 4.6% |
| Black Protestant | 1.6% | 3.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.6% |
| Non-religious | 60.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+29.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+27.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+30.7 |
| 2012 | Romney+13.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+12.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+23.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+16.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+2.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+11.4 |
Elmira (Corning) is a media market that has a population of 233,242. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+29.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34.9% | 64.6% | R+29.7 | R+2.6 |
| 2020 | 35.5% | 62.5% | R+27.0 | D+3.6 |
| 2016 | 31.6% | 62.2% | R+30.7 | R+16.9 |
| 2012 | 42.1% | 55.9% | R+13.7 | R+1.6 |
| 2008 | 43.2% | 55.4% | R+12.2 | D+10.9 |
| 2004 | 37.7% | 60.7% | R+23.1 | R+6.2 |
| 2000 | 39.5% | 56.3% | R+16.9 | R+13.9 |
| 1996 | 41.4% | 44.3% | R+2.9 | D+8.5 |
| 1992 | 33.1% | 44.5% | R+11.4 | D+12.8 |
| 1988 | 37.5% | 61.8% | R+24.3 | D+13.1 |
| 1984 | 31.2% | 68.6% | R+37.4 | R+16.1 |
| 1980 | 35.5% | 56.9% | R+21.3 | R+5.0 |
| 1976 | 41.6% | 57.9% | R+16.3 | D+26.7 |
| 1972 | 28.3% | 71.3% | R+43.0 | R+17.1 |
| 1968 | 33.2% | 59.0% | R+25.8 | R+47.1 |
| 1964 | 60.6% | 39.3% | D+21.3 | D+52.2 |
| 1960 | 34.5% | 65.4% | R+30.9 | D+21.8 |
| 1956 | 23.6% | 76.4% | R+52.7 | R+5.5 |
| 1952 | 25.4% | 72.6% | R+47.2 | R+15.3 |
| 1948 | 32.7% | 64.6% | R+31.9 | — |
What defines Elmira (Corning)?
Elmira (Corning) voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
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Counties in Elmira (Corning)
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
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Ask the Historian
Explore Elmira (Corning)'s political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 29.7% margin
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Elmira (Corning) | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.5% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 3.2% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 2.6% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.3% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
40.0%
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.7% | 36.8% | — | — | |
| 11.4% | 28.5% | — | — | |
| 10.4% | 26.0% | — | — | |
| 1.8% | 4.6% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 3.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.6% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 60.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Elmira (Corning) media market? 233,242 residents across 4 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
233K
Share of U.S. population
0.07%
Voting-age population
76.4%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$65,075
Poverty rate
14.4%
College degree
25.9%
Homeownership
72.7%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
43.4 yrs
Age 18–29
13.3%
Age 65+
21.3%
Foreign born
2.9%
Non-English at home
4.5%
English only
95.5%
Turnout in Elmira (Corning)
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
64.0%
-1.4pp
178,155
1988–2024
How competitive is Elmira (Corning)?
Safe RAvg margin: R+29.1 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+12.2
2012
R+13.7
2016
R+30.7
2020
R+27.0
2024
R+29.7
18.5pp
0
R+22.7
Do voters in Elmira (Corning) split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (26/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+29.7 | R+26.4 | 3.2pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 13.5pp
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