Panama City
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 411K residents — 9 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 74.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 7.6% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 10.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.6% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 24.4% | 63.7% |
| Catholic | 5.1% | 13.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.7% | 9.6% |
| Black Protestant | 3.0% | 7.7% |
| Other | 2.1% | 5.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.8% |
| Non-religious | 61.7% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+53.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+48.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+49.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+44.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+41.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+39.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+28.5 |
| 1996 | Dole+13.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+15.8 |
Panama City is a media market that has a population of 411,496. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+53.1. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23.0% | 76.1% | R+53.1 | R+4.8 |
| 2020 | 25.3% | 73.6% | R+48.3 | D+1.2 |
| 2016 | 23.6% | 73.2% | R+49.6 | R+5.5 |
| 2012 | 27.2% | 71.3% | R+44.1 | R+3.0 |
| 2008 | 28.8% | 69.9% | R+41.0 | R+1.4 |
| 2004 | 29.8% | 69.4% | R+39.6 | R+11.2 |
| 2000 | 34.5% | 63.0% | R+28.5 | R+15.3 |
| 1996 | 36.4% | 49.6% | R+13.2 | D+2.7 |
| 1992 | 30.8% | 46.7% | R+15.8 | D+22.6 |
| 1988 | 30.2% | 68.7% | R+38.5 | D+5.9 |
| 1984 | 27.8% | 72.2% | R+44.4 | R+36.8 |
| 1980 | 44.8% | 52.4% | R+7.6 | R+23.9 |
| 1976 | 57.4% | 41.0% | D+16.4 | D+83.8 |
| 1972 | 16.2% | 83.7% | R+67.4 | R+69.0 |
| 1968 | 16.1% | 14.6% | D+1.5 | D+25.9 |
| 1964 | 37.8% | 62.2% | R+24.3 | R+60.5 |
| 1960 | 68.1% | 31.9% | D+36.1 | D+0.2 |
| 1956 | 67.9% | 32.0% | D+35.9 | R+2.9 |
| 1952 | 69.4% | 30.6% | D+38.9 | R+13.5 |
| 1948 | 64.9% | 12.5% | D+52.4 | — |
What defines Panama City?
Panama City voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Lima
Small-town rural republican
Glendive
Small-town rural republican
North Platte
Small-town rural republican
Clarksburg-Weston
Small-town rural republican
Johnstown-Altoona-State College
Small-town rural republican
Springfield, MO
Small-town rural republican
Parkersburg
Small-town rural republican
Wheeling-Steubenville
Small-town rural republican
Counties in Panama City
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bay | 186K | R+47.4 | 25,201 | 71,497 | 97,777 | 45.2% |
| Walton | 83K | R+57.8 | 10,287 | 38,970 | 49,601 | 22.9% |
| Jackson | 48K | R+46.1 | 5,892 | 16,074 | 22,098 | 10.2% |
| Washington | 26K | R+65.4 | 2,140 | 10,370 | 12,584 | 5.8% |
| Holmes | 20K | R+80.2 | 882 | 8,193 | 9,116 | 4.2% |
| Gulf | 15K | R+54.2 | 1,970 | 6,684 | 8,697 | 4.0% |
| Calhoun | 13K | R+67.6 | 1,021 | 5,367 | 6,428 | 3.0% |
| Franklin | 13K | R+43.8 | 1,870 | 4,831 | 6,758 | 3.1% |
| Liberty | 8K | R+66.8 | 566 | 2,898 | 3,490 | 1.6% |
9 countiesTotal votes: 216,549
Ask the Historian
Explore Panama City's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 53.1% margin
- Turnout increased by 3.6 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Panama City | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 74.6% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 10.8% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 7.6% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.0% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.3% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
38.3%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -54.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.4% | 63.7% | — | — | |
| 5.1% | 13.3% | — | — | |
| 3.7% | 9.6% | — | — | |
| 3.0% | 7.7% | — | — | |
| 2.1% | 5.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.8% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 61.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Panama City media market? 411,496 residents across 9 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
411K
Share of U.S. population
0.12%
Voting-age population
74.1%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$69,240
Poverty rate
13.9%
College degree
26.0%
Homeownership
72.9%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
42.5 yrs
Age 18–29
13.2%
Age 65+
19.5%
Foreign born
6.4%
Non-English at home
8.6%
English only
91.4%
Turnout in Panama City
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
71.1%
+3.6pp
304,741
1988–2024
How competitive is Panama City?
Safe RAvg margin: R+50.3 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+41.0
2012
R+44.1
2016
R+49.6
2020
R+48.3
2024
R+53.1
12.1pp
0
R+47.2
Do voters in Panama City split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (30/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+53.1 | R+55.3 | 2.1pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 13.0pp
Located In
Panama City sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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