Lima
Safe Republican — shifted 3.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 182K residents — 3 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 85.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 3.8% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 5.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 25.6% | 43.3% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 18.6% | 31.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.2% | 17.3% |
| Black Protestant | 3.3% | 5.5% |
| Other | 1.4% | 2.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 40.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+55.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+51.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+48.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+35.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+30.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+40.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+39.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+20.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+26.5 |
Lima is a media market that has a population of 181,787. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+55.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22.0% | 77.1% | R+55.1 | R+3.5 |
| 2020 | 23.5% | 75.1% | R+51.6 | R+2.7 |
| 2016 | 22.5% | 71.3% | R+48.8 | R+13.0 |
| 2012 | 31.1% | 67.0% | R+35.8 | R+5.8 |
| 2008 | 34.0% | 64.1% | R+30.1 | D+10.7 |
| 2004 | 29.4% | 70.2% | R+40.8 | R+1.8 |
| 2000 | 29.2% | 68.2% | R+39.0 | R+18.2 |
| 1996 | 34.1% | 54.9% | R+20.9 | D+5.6 |
| 1992 | 26.8% | 53.3% | R+26.5 | D+15.8 |
| 1988 | 28.6% | 70.8% | R+42.3 | D+8.6 |
| 1984 | 24.3% | 75.1% | R+50.8 | R+13.4 |
| 1980 | 28.8% | 66.3% | R+37.4 | R+14.9 |
| 1976 | 37.6% | 60.2% | R+22.6 | D+19.4 |
| 1972 | 27.3% | 69.3% | R+42.0 | R+12.7 |
| 1968 | 30.0% | 59.3% | R+29.3 | R+31.6 |
| 1964 | 51.2% | 48.8% | D+2.3 | D+28.3 |
| 1960 | 37.0% | 63.0% | R+26.0 | D+15.4 |
| 1956 | 29.3% | 70.7% | R+41.4 | R+8.8 |
| 1952 | 33.7% | 66.3% | R+32.6 | R+22.7 |
| 1948 | 44.9% | 54.8% | R+9.9 | — |
What defines Lima?
Lima has been trending Republican — 19pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (22% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Counties in Lima
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 55.1% margin
- Shifted 19.3 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Lima | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 85.1% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 5.8% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 3.8% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.6% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +7.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A moderate religious balance between Catholic and Evangelical traditions.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.6% | 43.3% | — | — | |
| 18.6% | 31.5% | — | — | |
| 10.2% | 17.3% | — | — | |
| 3.3% | 5.5% | — | — | |
| 1.4% | 2.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 0.8% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 40.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Lima media market? 181,787 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Lima
How competitive is Lima?
Do voters in Lima split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+55.1 | R+46.3 | 8.8pp |